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Significance
Azerbaijan's threats of military action are cause for concern as the country looks to Turkey, which elsewhere has shown a willingness for regional intervention.
Impacts
The fighting puts the Karabakh dispute back on the radar of concerned regional and international powers.
Conflict allows both governments to rally populations tired of COVID-19 restrictions.
In Azerbaijan, 'war talk' provides cover as the authorities arrest critics, ostensibly for quarantine violations.
Keywords:
Azerbaijan,
Armenia,
RUCIS,
Caucasus,
Iran,
Russia,
Turkey,
AZERBAIJAN/ARMENIA,
international relations,
politics,
foreign policy,
military,
policy,
talks,
war,
defence,
infrastructure,
transport
© Oxford Analytica 2020. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2020
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