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Significance

The report projects that the federal government’s deficit will rise tenfold to CAD343.2bn (USD255.1bn) in 2020-21. This vast increase raises the question of what exit strategies the government will employ, and whether Canada is facing a round of austerity.

Impacts

Cuts to the federal bureaucracy are likely, especially for back-office functions.

Provinces, already struggling financially, face reduced financial support from Ottawa, raising their default risks.

Privatisation is likely if austerity measures are needed, especially under a Conservative government.

Canada could face credit rating cuts if the government cannot manage the economy effectively.

The Trudeau government’s charity-related payment controversy could lose it support if an election were held soon.

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