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Significance
The move should open the way to 'intra-Afghan' talks involving government and Taliban representatives. This may help prop up the February deal between the US government and the Taliban, which has frayed as milestones are missed or misread.
Impacts
The Taliban leadership will be forced to take difficult decisions, putting added strain on their already weak cohesion.
A faltering peace process would offer Iran a route to rebuilding influence with the Taliban leadership.
Islamic State will use any opportunity such as the recent Jalalabad mass prison escape to undermine peace steps.
Keywords:
Afghanistan,
AP,
United States,
international relations,
politics,
civil war,
government,
guerrillas,
military,
talks,
terrorism
© Oxford Analytica 2020. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2020
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