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Significance
The coup leaders are adamant that they should be allowed to lead the transition, while ECOWAS insists that they should hand over to an interim civilian government.
Impacts
The withdrawal of ECOWAS forces in Guinea-Bissau raises the risk of political interference by the military over the medium term.
Economic upheaval in West Africa makes the launch of the recently delayed regional currency, the Eco, unlikely in 2021 also.
Without a clear strategy to enforce its two-term norm, more turbulent political transitions are on the horizon in West Africa.
Keywords:
West Africa,
AF,
Guinea,
Ivory Coast,
Mali,
Gambia,
Liberia,
Senegal,
Togo,
international relations,
politics,
social,
constitution,
coup,
election,
government,
human rights,
judicial,
military,
opposition,
party,
protest,
regional,
security,
economy,
industry,
agriculture,
civil war,
ethnic,
gold,
soft commodities
© Oxford Analytica 2020. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2020
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