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Significance
Despite the crackdown, FNDC-led protests are likely to intensify to try to disrupt the October 18 poll. However, Conde’s main concern is not the recurring protests, but rather ensuring a first-round victory.
Impacts
Conde’s regional and international standing will be further damaged after the polls.
Conde’s re-election would polarise the country and risk intensified protests and political instability.
Increased political unrest raises the risk of disruption to the mining and agriculture sectors, hampering economic recovery.
Keywords:
Guinea,
AF,
Guinea-Bissau,
Senegal,
West Africa,
international relations,
politics,
social,
election,
government,
human rights,
military,
opposition,
party,
police,
protest,
regional,
security
© Oxford Analytica 2020. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2020
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