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Significance
It remains unclear whether the main opposition candidate, former President Henri Konan Bedie (1993-99), will propose a boycott of the October 31 polls. Meanwhile, the state prosecutor last week filed fresh charges against former National Assembly Speaker and barred presidential candidate Guillaume Soro and 19 of his allies for alleged attempts to undermine state security.
Impacts
Despite appealing to Ouattara not to run, it is almost certain Macron will recognise an Ouattara victory.
Community leaders and peacebuilding groups could help ease the threat of major destruction to cocoa plantations amid intercommunal violence.
Ouattara’s government will remain fearful of Soro’s ability to act as a spoiler and foment election-related unrest.
Keywords:
Ivory Coast,
AF,
France,
United Nations,
West Africa,
international relations,
politics,
social,
constitution,
election,
ethnic,
government,
human rights,
judicial,
military,
opposition,
party,
police,
protest,
reform,
talks,
economy,
industry,
agriculture,
arms,
civil war,
coup,
guerrillas
© Oxford Analytica 2020. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2020
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