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Significance

Whenever it comes, the election will be Erin O’Toole’s electoral debut as Conservative Party leader. His leadership marks a radical break with the party’s recent past, with new messaging on income inequality, blue-collar jobs, New Canadians and climate change.

Impacts

The New Democratic Party will lose working-class support to the Conservatives next election.

Renewable energy industries and the nuclear sector will receive renewed support under a Conservative government.

The Trans Mountain pipeline will be finished and sold to indigenous groups: Trudeau wants to support Alberta’s oil industry.

Whether Trudeau or O’Toole, Huawei will be banned from participation in Canada’s 5G network.

Some Conservative inroads are possible in centre-right-governed Quebec, where Bloc Quebecois dominates.

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