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Significance

Furthermore, liquidity injections by central banks are supressing bond yields. However, even a hint from major central banks that inflation is picking up faster than anticipated could roil stock markets, whose lofty valuations depend on yields remaining ultra-low.

Impacts

A communication blunder by a major central bank could exacerbate any bond market volatility and cause a sharp sell-off in equity markets.

More transmissible coronavirus strains are reaching more nations and reigniting fears about the speed and efficacy of vaccine rollout.

A record USD18tn of public and corporate debt is yielding a negative return, fuelling demand for higher-yield EM bonds and currencies.

The trade-weighted dollar has fallen by nearly 4% since end-September to the lowest since April 2018; it is set to stay under pressure.

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