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Significance
The move reflects the conventional wisdom that aid can influence the behaviour of recipient countries, promoting democratic values. However, such goals are undermined by multiple factors, including the domestic politics of the recipients and the donors.
Impacts
Post-pandemic aid cuts risk reducing public services in aid-dependent countries over the coming years.
Aid withdrawal, without wider coordination, will prove ineffective in altering the behaviour of incumbent leaders.
Aid coordination will become harder, especially on democratic issues, as non-traditional donors with different priorities increase funding.
Donors such as China will link aid for COVID-19 vaccines to geostrategic goals in aid-dependent countries such as Cambodia.
Keywords:
International,
INT,
RUCIS,
Africa,
Europe,
Middle East,
North America,
international relations,
politics,
social,
aid,
government,
human rights
© Oxford Analytica 2021. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2021
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