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Significance

The two-month conflict between Azerbaijani and Armenian forces has produced a breakthrough in an unexpected area: rail routes providing the South Caucasus with new connectivity with their neighbours.

Impacts

Funding substantial infrastructure work will challenge state finances during post-COVID-19 recovery.

If the prospective economic benefits look one-sided, Armenia's prime minister will come under further domestic pressure.

For Abkhazia's leadership, discussing a renewed rail connection offers a way of rebuilding economic ties with Tbilisi.

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