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Significance

The outgoing administration has bequeathed Biden an incomplete trade policy transition but also some new tools with which to shape relations. Whether and how Biden maintains or reshapes Trump-era policies will have major implications for African integration, trade and investment.

Impacts

Africa will be a second-order priority for the Biden administration and its focus in the short term will be on COVID-19 recovery.

Washington will likely engage in ‘vaccine diplomacy’ with Africa as a quick way to both repair diplomatic ties and aid economic recovery.

Although diplomatic relations should improve, US investment in Africa may remain relatively limited over the short term.

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