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Significance
One is the Dominican Republic’s controversial plan to build a border ‘wall’, to halt undocumented migration. Another is the Haitian authorities’ recent construction of an irrigation canal just within the Haitian side of the border. Protests and border clashes are likely to intensify over the coming months.
Impacts
Increased border security will drive up demand for, and the cost of, cross-border smuggling, worsening insecurity.
Effective border policing may foster short-term labour shortages in the Dominican Republic.
Demands for vaccination evidence before crossing the border will probably prompt a surge in black-market vaccination certificates.
© Oxford Analytica 2021. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2021
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