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Significance
While the overall number of incidents is fewer than a dozen since the rise of the region's jihadist insurgencies in the early 2010s, the trend lends credence to growing warnings about the jihadist threat to coastal West African countries. Concern has focused on Ivory Coast and Benin, but there is also nervousness about Ghana, Togo and even Senegal.
Impacts
Western governments will boost security assistance to coastal states.
Intelligence sharing and joint operations will not forestall cross-border hit-and-run attacks.
Most regional states will resort to security-focused responses whose abuses drive jihadist recruitment.
Keywords:
international relations,
politics,
social,
civil war,
government,
military,
rebellion,
religion,
security,
West Africa,
AF,
Burkina Faso,
Ivory Coast,
Benin,
Ghana,
Mauritania,
Senegal,
Togo,
France,
Mali,
Niger
© Oxford Analytica 2021. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2021
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