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Significance

The CPRF's relationship with the authorities has become increasingly conflictual. The CPRF's rise is rooted in its ability to exploit growing protest trends, but curtailed by a conservative leadership, structure and image.

Impacts

A strong second-place position will help the CPRF execute the transition to a new generation of leaders.

A plethora of small parties, many Kremlin creations, will draw off votes from the CPRF and others.

Fraud could depress the CPRF's vote share but would reduce the legitimacy of the elections.

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