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Significance

Dhaka has in recent months relocated some Rohingya refugees to newly built facilities on a remote island, Bhasan Char. The Bangladeshi authorities want refugees to return to Myanmar, as do most refugees themselves, but a formal repatriation process is nowhere in sight.

Impacts

Certain ASEAN members may face a fresh influx of Rohingya refugees that they are unwilling to accept.

Myanmar’s anti-junta National Unity Government will talk up its relatively progressive Rohingya policy in a bid to gain external support.

In the light of the coup, external players will be more concerned about stability in Myanmar than Rohingya repatriation.

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