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Significance
This has been acrimonious and at times violent as local party barons position themselves in the context of growing concerns over 88-year-old President Paul Biya’s succession. The CPDM’s dominance, Cameroon’s history of rigged elections and the weakened opposition have focused most speculation around figures in the president’s inner circle.
Impacts
Biya may look to make minor changes in the electoral code designed further to divide the opposition.
A succession crisis may provoke a military coup.
A succession crisis may dramatically increase ethnic, regional and religious tensions.
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2021
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