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Significance
As a result, illicit economies have provided livelihoods to locals for years, fuelling ethnic and tribal competition. Τhe inability of Libyan authorities to project power in the Fezzan and the jostling for influence has allowed mercenaries and other armed groups to become established in the region, stationing themselves in the desert area, and threatening its security.
Impacts
Political developments in Chad could trigger clashes in southern Libya.
The LNA could position itself as a security guarantor against a resurgent IS.
Smuggling will remain a key source of revenue in the Fezzan.
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2021
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