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Significance
This is expected to be followed by the first parliamentary election since 2014, at some point in early 2022. It now looks increasingly likely that both elections will be delayed. The electoral process lacks the elements it would need to be truly transformative, but it is prompting shifts in the political elite which will dictate developments for at least the next year.
Impacts
Khalifa Haftar will keep pushing for his armed group to form the core of Libya’s future army
Seif al-Islam Qadhafi’s candidacy in the elections is unlikely to result in him becoming president.
Aguileh Saleh looks set to stay on as House of Representatives speaker with no clear date for parliamentary elections.
Keywords:
politics,
election,
government,
talks,
civil war,
guerrillas,
military,
Libya,
ME/NAF,
United Nations
© Oxford Analytica 2021. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2021
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