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Significance
UAE-US relations are under their greatest strain in nearly two decades. Trust between officials on both sides has been eroded. Doubts about the United States' reliability as a regional partner have prompted a further diversification of Emirati security and defence relationships with Russia and China.
Impacts
The UAE will remain reliant on the United States for its regional security.
Washington may re-consider maintaining forces at al-Dhafra airbase in Abu Dhabi.
The UAE could become a destination for capital and investors seeking to bypass international sanctions on Russia.
Greater illicit flows to the UAE would increase monitoring by the Financial Action Task Force.
Keywords:
United Arab Emirates,
United States,
ME/NAF,
China,
Israel,
Russia,
Afghanistan,
Egypt,
Qatar,
Saudi Arabia,
Syria,
Ukraine,
UAE,
economy,
international relations,
politics,
defence,
energy,
oil,
regional,
security
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2022
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