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Significance

Biden and other Western officials have not made any specifics public. Nonetheless, the advice underlines the risks to global geopolitical stability from cyberspace, an unstable domain of security competition. Lessons from previous military wars or from the nuclear era do not readily translate into the cybersecurity domain.

Impacts

Ukrainian government systems, energy facilities and transportation networks face the greatest risk of Russian cyber disruption.

Western financial systems are likely to be prime targets for Russian retaliation.

Russian internet services that orchestrate Kremlin’s propaganda are likely targets of any Western cyber action.

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