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Significance
For Estonians, the war in Ukraine has awakened traumatic memories of Soviet invasion during the Second World War and generates great sympathy for Ukraine and anger at Russia, as well as disappointment with the response by Western allies slow to react to the danger posed by Moscow.
Impacts
Higher commodities prices, supply difficulties due to sanctions and falling goods trade will push up inflation and cut growth in real terms.
Estonian exports to Russia and transit of Russian and Belarusian commodities will suffer as a result of sanctions.
Logistics firm DBT, one of Tallinn’s most successful businesses, would be hurt by sanctions on Russian-national owner Viatcheslav Kantor.
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2022
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