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Significance
Military coups in Mali and Burkina Faso have led to political divisions that are now undermining regional security cooperation and threaten to end French and EU counterterrorism operations in Mali. This comes at a time when insecurity is spreading across the Sahel.
Impacts
Bamako’s attempt to portray its disputes with Paris as a decolonisation struggle will drive more anti-Western sentiment across the Sahel.
Intra-jihadist rivalry is likely to persist in the medium term as groups compete for influence and control over revenue sources.
Regional sanctions on Mali’s junta will weaken the ability of its military to fight jihadists.
The rising cost of living amid looming food scarcity heightens the risk of social unrest across the Sahel.
Keywords:
Mali,
Chad,
Niger,
Burkina Faso,
AF,
SAHEL,
economy,
international relations,
social,
famine,
food,
government,
military,
security,
terrorism
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2022
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