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Significance
Sanctions relief follows the junta agreeing to shorten its timetable for transition to civilian rule from three years to two. The loosening of regional pressure contrasts with an increasingly desperate security situation, with the government not in control of two-fifths of Burkinabe territory.
Impacts
Desperate to show some gains, Burkinabe soldiers may commit yet further abuses against civilians.
As jihadists attack mining sites, foreign investors will likely become increasingly nervous.
Damiba will resist pressure to invite the Russian Wagner Group mercenary organisation into the country.
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2022
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