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Significance
The attacks illustrate broader security threats facing the national and state-level elections in February and March, respectively. These include separatism, widespread banditry, jihadist insurgencies and militant activities in areas such as the Niger Delta.
Impacts
Large-scale military and police deployments are likely in vulnerable zones.
The current dry season will improve insurgent mobility in some areas, making attacks more likely.
Lower voter turnout in the south-east could harm Peter Obi's presidential campaign.
Political party-related violence may intensify in the run-up to the polls.
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2023
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