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Significance
Russia is encouraging a rapprochement between Turkey and Syria that does not explicitly include Iran, a key economic and military backer of the Damascus government. Tehran worries that this development, along with the restoration of Syrian ties with Arab states, could undermine its regional strategy.
Impacts
US forces will remain in northern Syria, despite opposition from Damascus and Tehran.
Iran and its proxies could gain from post-war reconstruction in Syrian if President Assad's government is politically rehabilitated.
Talks between Ankara and Damascus could lead to changes in north Syria, such as opening access to the M4 highway between Aleppo and Latakia.
Keywords:
Iran,
Syria,
ME/NAF,
Bahamas,
Iraq,
Lebanon,
Qatar,
Russia,
Saudi Arabia,
Turkey,
United Arab Emirates,
United States,
economy,
international relations,
aid,
arms,
civil war,
defence,
military,
oil,
border conflict
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2023
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