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Significance
Through a deft combination of co-optation and repression, he has greatly weakened both civilian and armed opposition to his authority. In doing so, he seems to have secured his political position against immediate threats in preparation for the scheduled 2024 elections.
Impacts
A protracted civil war in Sudan could threaten the delicate political arrangements recently made with some of Chad’s armed groups.
Deby is unlikely to face Western sanctions despite his government’s poor human rights record.
The government’s recent appropriation of oil assets may negatively impact foreign investment.
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2023
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