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Significance

The central role of the western Pacific region in this infrastructure, with its dense connections to both sides, complicates US and Chinese efforts at mutual isolation.

Impacts

Washington and a small number of like-minded states will promote international cable networks that avoid direct connection with China.

China will support its firms to build competing undersea cable projects, aiming to enable continued international economic expansion.

Most countries will navigate between the two camps, working out the challenges involved progressively and with variations.

Security risks associated with undersea cables and the digital connections they enable will be a continuing concern for governments.

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