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Significance

President Umaro Sissoco Embalo had dissolved the previous PAIGC-dominated National People’s Assembly in May 2022 following disputes over constitutional reform and accusations over alleged PAIGC involvement in a bloody February 2022 coup attempt.

Impacts

The presence of a regional force will likely protect Embalo from any coup attempt.

IMF-supported fiscal consolidation measures may worsen cost-of-living concerns.

Food insecurity may fuel social unrest.

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