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Significance
Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has attempted to reassure Wagner’s African clients that operations will continue as normal. However, reports have emerged of considerable fears within Mali’s junta and among other African leaders over the future character of their security partnership with Russia.
Impacts
Some exiled Wagner combatants may redeploy to African postings.
French information-warfare efforts in Africa will emphasise Russian weaknesses and credibility issues.
Fallout from the Wagner uprising may aggravate growing tensions within Mali’s junta.
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2023
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