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Significance
This has raised fears that jihadist insurgents, who are embedded in Benin’s national parks and have a history of inserting themselves into similar conflicts in neighbouring Burkina Faso, will use these conflicts to extend their influence deeper into Benin.
Impacts
A destabilised rural northern Benin could attract incursions from bandits who operate across the border in Nigeria.
Insurgents could spread further south by moving to other protected forestry spaces with similarly contested land politics.
Potential Beninois participation in an ECOWAS intervention in Niger could place heavy strains on its security forces.
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2023
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