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Significance

Europe's decisive move away from Russian pipeline gas since February 2022 has changed hugely the global LNG trade. Between 2019 and 2022, the global LNG market grew by 12%, with US exports more than doubling. The old model of distinct Atlantic and Pacific markets is changing.

Impacts

Decarbonisation targets will curtail European demand for LNG as the use of renewables grows.

Israel, Cyprus and Egypt could develop new floating LNG export plants if political and commercial issues are resolved.

Nigeria in 2026 and Indonesia (end of 2023) will increase capacity, but other traditional LNG exporters will see further declines.

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