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Significance
However, the pace of expansion is uneven, partly due to local policy and security responses, as well as jihadist group priorities. Nonetheless, jihadist growth remains a major cause of concern regionally.
Impacts
The threat to Guinea and Senegal may depend on a greater jihadist presence in southern Mali.
France is unlikely to become heavily involved in fighting jihadists in the coastal countries.
The jihadist threat will fuel greater popular discrimination against Fulani herders.
Coastal countries may expect increased offers of security assistance from Western partners.
Keywords:
West Africa,
AF,
Benin,
Ghana,
Ivory Coast,
Togo,
politics,
social,
human rights,
military,
security,
terrorism
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2023
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