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Significance

Meanwhile, in the same atmosphere of regional escalation, the United States has also targeted sites in Syrian territory as it retaliates against Iran-backed Iraqi armed groups that have attacked its bases in both Iraq and Syria. Other pre-existing conflict dynamics in Syria’s north and east are proceeding as normal, mostly unaffected by Gaza.

Impacts

Washington will be drawn into further rounds of back-and-forth violence as Iraqi militants target US forces in Syria.

Gaza-related violence, including Israeli strikes on airports, will disrupt humanitarian operations in Syria.

Further Israeli strikes, including on ports, might interrupt trade in essential goods and worsen economic conditions.

Infrastructure and services, as well as aid operations, would be additionally stressed if conflict-hit Lebanese fled to Syria.

The war will have minimal impact on Damascus’s largely frozen rapprochement with Gulf and other Arab countries.

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