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Significance

President Kais Saied is seeking to press targeted members of the business class to accept an amnesty in return for significant investments. Yet this initiative has so far failed to recover the anticipated sums, undermining a pillar in the president’s nationalist agenda.

Impacts

The president will likely review his 'criminal reconciliation' initiative to tighten its measures and increase pressure on businesspeople.

Saied will likely continue to scapegoat a series of apparent domestic enemies, such as civil society groups receiving funds from abroad.

The 2024 ballot is set to be decisive in the consolidation of Saied’s power.

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