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Significance
Government attempts to stop the clashes have been ineffective, and both sides have used Nuer forces from elsewhere in South Sudan, risking a broadening conflict.
Impacts
A government offensive against Machiek may intensify cleavages within his Bul Nuer community, risking conflict in Mayom, Unity State.
Continuing Ngok-Twic clashes could leave Abyei further adrift from South Sudan, which Sudanese forces may seek to exploit.
A blockade of Abyei’s southern border and disruptions caused by Sudan’s civil war may intensify an already dire humanitarian situation.
Keywords:
South Sudan,
AF,
Sudan,
international relations,
politics,
social,
border conflict,
ethnic,
foreign policy,
human rights,
military,
rebellion,
regional,
security
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2024
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