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Significance
The Council declared Bosnia-Hercegovina (BiH) a potential EU member in June 2003, but withheld candidate status until end-2022. The 1995 Dayton peace agreement reconstituted BiH as a state, but with two separate regional ‘entities’ based on the warring sides, the Federation and Republika Srpska (RS). RS resistance to EU-required reforms is the main obstacle.
Impacts
The EU’s attractiveness is based largely on hopes that membership will be economically advantageous.
Crucial US political support for keeping Bosnia together could weaken under an isolationist second Trump presidency.
A Russian victory in Ukraine could bring more meddling in the Balkans.
Keywords:
Bosnia-Hercegovina,
EUR,
EU,
Russia,
BOSNIA,
international relations,
politics,
constitution,
ethnic,
integration,
reform,
regional,
civil war,
election,
foreign policy,
government,
legislation,
party,
religion
© Oxford Analytica 2024. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2024
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