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Significance

After months of internal division, the CDU’s senior figures united behind leader Friedrich Merz, elected a new executive and adopted a new programme that marks a reversion to conviction politics from the pragmatism of the Merkel era. Polls suggest the CDU is on course to win the 2025 federal elections and lead the next government.

Impacts

The CDU is pledging to be more supportive of Ukraine's war effort, compared with the current coalition.

Based on the current polls, a coalition between the CDU and Social Democrats (SPD) is the most likely government after the next elections.

Poor results for the current governing parties in the upcoming EU and state elections would increase policy tensions.

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