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Significance

However, there is a danger of these impact assessments understating the costs of the global temperature rise already happening, and of action needed to restrain it.

Impacts

Firm-level tests of climate risks and transition costs need cross-checked against macro-level estimates from economy/environment models.

Optimistic sustainability reports fuel confidence that ‘green growth’ is attainable, but may also mean governments set tougher targets.

Models missed systemic factors that triggered the Global Financial Crisis, a useful lesson to avoid similar climate risk underestimation.

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