Open figure viewer
Significance
Municipal polls are scheduled for December 11, with the opposition contesting new electoral rules decreed by the government, which they say disproportionately benefit ruling party candidates.
Impacts
Lower vanilla export prices will exacerbate poverty in the coming year.
Opposition control of Antananarivo could lead to major confrontations with Rajoelina.
Repeated power cuts could place downward pressure on economic growth.
© Oxford Analytica 2024. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2024
You do not currently have access to this content.
