Open figure viewer
Significance
While an executive branch significantly weaker than in previous decades has struggled to respond, the Supreme Federal Court (STF) is now pushing back. STF actions may somewhat increase transparency, but can do little to boost executive control over the budget.
Impacts
The draft 2025 budget bill contains a record BRL39bn worth of mandatory (not including discretionary) amendments alone.
Lula will seek to avoid direct confrontation with Congress in discussions about budgetary amendments.
Congress’s reaction to STF attempts to increase transparency in its budgetary allocation may undermine the government’s legislative agenda.
The legislative branch will likely continue to win power vis-a-vis the two other branches in the coming years.
Keywords:
economy,
politics,
fiscal,
government,
judicial,
legislation,
opposition,
policy,
Brazil,
LA/C
© Oxford Analytica 2024. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2024
You do not currently have access to this content.
