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Significance

Starmer has made strengthening relations with the EU one of his foreign policy priorities, but so far there has been little evidence that he is willing to pursue substantive changes.

Impacts

Fisheries will likely be a major source of tension when the UK-EU post-Brexit agreement is up for review in 2026.

If Brussels signs off on tariffs against Chinese electric vehicle imports next week, they will likely apply in Northern Ireland as well.

Closer regulatory alignment with the EU will contribute little to the growth of the UK economy.

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