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Significance

Roadblocks are exacerbating the economic difficulties afflicting the country and challenging the government’s authority. Morales is conditioning the lifting of roadblocks on the ending of attempts to prosecute him for alleged sexual offences.

Impacts

Morales’s electoral support will be increasingly limited to the Chapare.

Lower growth and rising prices will further erode the government’s popularity.

Opposition candidates will sense the political opportunity as the elections approach but may struggle to capitalise on it.

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