These developments conflict with President Abdelmadjid Tebboune’s vision of reasserting Algeria’s leadership in regional affairs. The authorities believe that external political and military interference in North Africa and the Sahel has increased due to the country’s relative loss of regional influence over the past few years.
Mali’s military operations near the border with Algeria are likely to continue fuelling tensions between Bamako and Algiers.
As Algeria reduces its dependence on Russian military supplies, it will likely express opposition to Moscow’s regional presence more openly.
France’s recognition of Moroccan sovereignty over Western Sahara could encourage other European countries to follow suit.
Algeria will maintain strong support for the Sahrawi independence movement Polisario Front.
