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Significance

The Duterte-Marcos rift is worsening at a time when the country faces major challenges such as escalating rivalry with China over the South China Sea. On November 18, the Philippines signed a military intelligence-sharing agreement with the United States, a treaty ally.

Impacts

Greater US-Philippine coordination in the South China Sea could trigger Chinese retaliation.

The president’s congressional allies will try to increase pressure on Duterte family members and their aides.

Independent candidates will find it difficult to compete against members of established political families at the midterms.

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