... that inflame the conflict. Impacts IS-Sahel may adopt less predatory governance strategies in the Menaka region as its territorial control stabilises. Juntas will use worsening security as a justification to postpone transferring power to civilians. Improved government aerial capabilities in the form...

... is one of the key areas of focus at the conference. Impacts Regional conflicts pose the most immediate threat to climate change adaptation. Humanitarian needs throughout the Sahel may be significantly underfunded this year. Western NGOs may find it increasingly difficult to operate in Mali due...

... of the 2015 Algiers Accord. Impacts Recently improved relations with France will benefit from Algerian frustrations with Russia's role in the Sahel. Greater Algerian involvement in the Sahel could elicit parallel efforts from rival Morocco. Major Algerian military deployments within the Sahel countries...

... Burkina Faso Chad Mali Niger Ukraine SAHEL economy social climate famine food security Agribusiness & food Infographic exploring the rise in violent incidents across the Sahelian region. In the areas where violence is the worst, the increase in food prices is also...

...Oxford Analytica Significance The lean season in the Sahel region runs from May to August and is typically the period of greatest food insecurity in an endemically food-insecure area. This year, amid persistent conflict in parts of the Sahel, erratic rains and the global fallout of the war...

...Oxford Analytica Significance Military coups in Mali and Burkina Faso have led to political divisions that are now undermining regional security cooperation and threaten to end French and EU counterterrorism operations in Mali. This comes at a time when insecurity is spreading across the Sahel...

... as the region's jihadist insurgencies. Impacts Settled farming populations constitute a majority across most of the Sahel and dominate government policy for rural communities. Stigmatisation of largely pastoralist ethnic groups such as the Peulh (Fulani) and Tuareg fosters social exclusion and rights abuses...

... not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites. 2022 Niger Chad Mali Burkina Faso AF SAHEL...

... in societies under pressure from climate change, poverty and instability. Mauritania is the only official Islamic republic in the Sahel. In the other states in the region, the legal framework is based on secular, republican values. There are significant Christian minorities in Mali and particularly Burkina...

... climate effects as it shapes migration and security policy in the Sahel. The likelihood and severity of climate impacts will depend on socio-economic and political conditions in the region. Small-scale irrigation, climate-adapted seeds and traditional soil conservation techniques can help increase...

... with actively abetting jihadist groups. Impacts Further anti-French protests, including efforts to disrupt the French logistical chain, are likely. Sahelian protesters do not appear interested in targeting ordinary French nationals. Entrepreneurial politicians throughout the Sahel may look...

... are the current epicentres of violence. Jihadist groups have stoked inter-ethnic tensions and violence against civilians has been rising steadily. Armed groups are partly responsible for these; security forces themselves commit a substantial proportion of violence against civilians. See SAHEL: Security...

...Oxford Analytica Headline SAHEL: France will seek an alternative strategy © Oxford Analytica 2021. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice...

...-distance roads and electricity generation. Rising insecurity compounds these challenges. The Sahel is a mostly landlocked and poor region. Its economic base relies heavily on smallholder cereal farming, livestock husbandry and mining. Cities are smaller than elsewhere in Africa, and population...

...Oxford Analytica Headline SAHEL: Reduced state violence may mask worrying trends © Oxford Analytica 2021. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice...

..., but is less available to other Sahel countries. Local solar and wind installations could be key in supplying the numerous scattered rural communities and towns. There are large regional variations in access to electricity, ranging from less than 10% electrification in Chad to a high of 70% in Senegal. Most...

...Oxford Analytica Significance French President Emmanuel Macron announced in June that France's Sahel-focused Operation Barkhane would wind down by early 2022. Although the actual drawdown plans are still ambiguous, Macron has committed to retaining some special operations forces and supporting...

... Total fertility rate per woman (children per woman) over 2010-15 and 2015-20 Niger Chad Burkina Faso Mali AF SAHEL social population famine security Children at school, Burkina Faso, 2020 (Sam Mednick/AP/Shutterstock) Violent insecurity and jihadist terrorism...

... or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites. 2021 Chad Mali Niger Burkina Faso AF Mauritania Nigeria Cameroon SAHEL economy politics social aid arms civil war famine food Women carrying aid food in Niger (Marcel Mettelsiefen/EPA...

... are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites. 2021 Chad Niger Mauritania Mali Burkina Faso AF SAHEL politics social health infrastructure security services Pharm, biotech...