...Oxford Analytica Headline SOMALIA: Puntland IS raids highlight security dilemmas © Oxford Analytica 2025. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice...

... first six months. AUSSOM is in effect operating in name only, as a concrete transition from the outgoing African Union (AU) mission has yet to take place. Funding for the African Union Transition Mission in Somalia (ATMIS) has always been an issue. Lacking the resources to finance a mission...

...Oxford Analytica Headline SOMALIA: New escalations threaten fragile peace © Oxford Analytica 2024. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice...

...Oxford Analytica Significance The declaration effectively overrides a January 2024 Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) that triggered a major rupture in Ethiopia-Somalia relations, when Ethiopia proposed to recognise Somaliland’s independence from Somalia in return for a naval base on Somaliland...

... pro-FGS forces that were dispatched to the border town of Dolow and sent military support to Madobe's troops in Kismayo. However, in an exceptional turn of events on the same day as the Jubaland debacle, Turkey announced that it had facilitated an agreement between Ethiopia and Somalia to de...

...Oxford Analytica Headline SOMALIA/ETHIOPIA: Detente boosts regional security SOMALIA/ETHIOPIA: Following Turkish mediation, Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud and Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed yesterday agreed to de-escalate tensions. Tensions have been high ever since Ethiopia...

...Oxford Analytica Headline SOMALIA/ETHIOPIA: Dispute approaches a crisis moment © Oxford Analytica 2024. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice...

...Oxford Analytica Headline EAST AFRICA: Mediation may complicate Somalia crisis © Oxford Analytica 2024. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice...

...Oxford Analytica Headline SOMALIA: Nation edges closer towards a major crisis SOMALIA: Jubaland President Ahmed Madobe was yesterday re-elected to a third term; however, federal authorities immediately declared the election illegal. Specifically, the cabinet claimed the election format...

...Oxford Analytica Significance This aligns with President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud’s electoral reform plans. However, these plans face considerable resistance, not least from two of Somalia’s five federal member states, Puntland and Jubaland. Impacts Federal attempts to disrupt Jubaland’s regional...

...Oxford Analytica Headline SOMALIA: Somaliland’s new president faces challenges Somalia AF economy international relations politics social border conflict election foreign policy government international law opposition party reform security © Oxford Analytica 2024. All...

...Oxford Analytica Headline SOMALIA: Somaliland holds consequential elections © Oxford Analytica 2024. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice...

... websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites. 2024 East Africa AF Congo-Kinshasa Eritrea Ethiopia Kenya Somalia South Sudan Sudan Egypt PROSPECTS 2025 economy...

...Oxford Analytica Headline SOMALIA: Jubaland rupture risks sparking major crisis © Oxford Analytica 2024. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice...

...Oxford Analytica Headline SOMALIA: Disputes risk widening domestic divisions Somalia AF politics social constitution decentralisation election government opposition reform security talks © Oxford Analytica 2024. All rights reserved. This content contains general...

...Oxford Analytica Headline SOMALIA: Nation awaits outcome of crucial NCC meeting © Oxford Analytica 2024. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice...

.... 2024 Hungary EUR Chad Africa China EU France Gulf states Mali Niger Russia Somalia Turkey Ukraine United States NATO Uganda international relations politics aid defence foreign policy government immigration military peacekeeping policy terrorism civil war...

...Oxford Analytica Headline SOMALIA: Domestic divisions may deepen further international relations politics social decentralisation military peacekeeping regional security talks SOMALIA: President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud has reportedly asked Turkey to mediate tensions...

...Oxford Analytica Significance The development has generated headlines due to Somalia’s push to replace Ethiopian troops with Egyptian forces. Less remarked upon but no less consequential is the fact that stalled reforms mean Somalia remains heavily dependent on foreign security assistance...

...Oxford Analytica Significance This long-standing conflict has now fused with an escalating clash between Ethiopia and Somalia over Ethiopia’s promise to recognise Somaliland’s independence from Somalia in return for port access. The evolving crisis has significant potential to upset security...