... account deficits amid weak GDP growth, hampered by fiscal policy, and inflation still above 2%. Impacts Higher borrowing costs and weak GDP growth could undermine UK fiscal assumptions, increasing the prospect of tax rises. Emerging market bond and equity fund outflows exceeded USD60bn last year...

...Oxford Analytica Headline UK: Achieving growth much above 1% will be tricky © Oxford Analytica 2025. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice...

...Oxford Analytica Headline UK: Banks are healthy but wider financial risks linger © Oxford Analytica 2024. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice...

...Oxford Analytica Significance Recent figures suggest that the UK economy is improving, with stronger growth and lower inflation than previously expected, although growth prospects remain weak historically. Impacts Bond market investors may worry that higher borrowing will lead to higher...

...Oxford Analytica Headline UK: Google-Apple antitrust pause will be temporary © Oxford Analytica 2024. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice...

...Oxford Analytica Headline UK: Ofcom letter renews focus on the Online Safety Act United Kingdom EUR INT Europe UK politics social government internet legislation policy regulation technology Telecoms Media UK: In an open letter yesterday, UK internet regulator...

...Oxford Analytica Headline UK: Labour Party will struggle to maintain support UK: The opposition Labour Party is on course to a win a strong majority in today's general election. All of the polls published this week, which are consistent will polling trends over the past 18 months, showed...

... Kingdom EUR UK economy politics debt fiscal government growth party election foreign trade pensions Keir Starmer, leader of the opposition Labour Party (Tolga Akmen/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock) Opinion polls strongly suggest that the opposition Labour Party will win the July 4...

...Oxford Analytica Significance It is trailing the opposition Labour Party by an average of 20 percentage points (pp) and its prospects have been further damaged by the decision of Nigel Farage to contest the election as leader of the right-wing populist Reform UK. The election outcome will have...

...Oxford Analytica Headline UK: Farage could further damage ruling party vote UK: Nigel Farage, who played a defining role in the 2016 Brexit referendum, unexpectedly announced yesterday that he would contest the July 4 general election as leader of the right-wing populist Reform UK party after...

...Oxford Analytica Headline UK: Economy will not save the Conservatives © Oxford Analytica 2024. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations...

...Oxford Analytica Headline UK: Migrant deterrence strategy is in trouble © Oxford Analytica 2024. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations...

...Oxford Analytica Headline UK: London solidifies sector-based approach to AI © Oxford Analytica 2024. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice...

...Oxford Analytica Headline UK: Immigration bill exposes ruling party divisions © Oxford Analytica 2024. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice...

... cooperation on risk evaluation. Impacts As more advanced AI systems are developed and made easily available, criminal misuses of this technology will rise. Tackling AI-generated disinformation and other harmful online content will become increasingly essential but also difficult. The UK ‘State...

...Oxford Analytica Headline UK: Online child safety risks will test policymakers © Oxford Analytica 2023. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice...

...Oxford Analytica Headline UK: Cybersecurity of UK infrastructure may tighten © Oxford Analytica 2023. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice...

...Oxford Analytica Headline UK: AI cybersecurity guidelines state aspirations © Oxford Analytica 2023. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice...

...Oxford Analytica Headline UK: State cyber threat to infrastructure is rising United Kingdom EUR INT China Iran Israel Palestinians Russia Ukraine United States UK economy industry international relations infrastructure private sector technology Infrastructure...

...Oxford Analytica Headline UK: AI Summit marks the intensification of AI race United Kingdom EUR China EU United States UK economy industry international relations regulation technology UK: The two-day UK AI Safety Summit on what London has termed 'frontier' artificial...