Purpose

This study develops a comprehensive discrete numerical model for option valuation that explicitly incorporates risk preferences, which may deviate from risk neutrality. Unlike the traditional binomial tree models – strictly under the risk-neutral paradigm – our framework embeds a constant relative risk aversion (CRRA) utility specification, capturing heterogeneous attitudes toward risk while preserving the arbitrage-free pricing rule.

Design/methodology/approach

The model extends the multiplicative binomial recombination tree (MBRT) by adjusting key parameters – transition probabilities, growth factors, discount rates and drift/diffusion terms – to reflect the investor's degree of risk aversion. The classical Cox-Ross-Rubinstein binomial tree (CRR) emerges as a special case when risk aversion is set to zero. The methodology remains consistent with geometric Brownian motion (GBM) dynamics and is benchmarked against a modified Monte Carlo simulation to ensure robustness.

Findings

Results show that option values can be consistently derived under both traditional risk-neutral settings and preference-driven settings. Sensitivity analysis highlights the impact of time to maturity, volatility, strike price and the risk-free rate under varying levels of risk aversion.

Research limitations/implications

While this research offers significant theoretical and practical contributions, certain limitations warrant further study. Computational complexity: the CRRA-based valuation method introduces additional numerical challenges, requiring precise calibration and advanced optimization techniques. Dependence on risk aversion estimates: the model assumes that investor risk preferences can be accurately measured and remain stable, which may not always reflect dynamic market conditions. Absence of a closed-form solution: our proposed approach lacks an analytical closed-form solution. Therefore, it is crucial to dedicate efforts to its development.

Practical implications

The integration of CRRA utility functions into derivative valuation represents a key innovation, as it explicitly accounts for investor risk preferences beyond the traditional risk-neutral paradigm. This framework advances the literature on utility-based and nonlinear risk-adjusted pricing by demonstrating how variations in the relative risk aversion (RRA) coefficient shape option values. From a practical perspective, the model offers a flexible tool for portfolio managers, traders and policymakers by aligning valuations with observed market behavior while preserving consistency with classical models under specific conditions. Accurate calibration of risk preferences thus becomes essential for reliable pricing and policy design.

Originality/value

The novelty of this research lies in bridging utility-based preferences with recombining lattice valuation: while prior studies focused exclusively on risk-neutral or arbitrage-based approaches, our model incorporates explicit risk aversion into the numerical structure. By deriving general algebraic expressions and validating the framework through numerical experiments, this study offers a tractable and versatile tool for analyzing option prices under heterogeneous risk attitudes, without losing the analytical clarity of traditional methods.

Since the seminal work of Black and Scholes (1973), later extended by Merton (1973), the valuation of European options has relied on the assumption that the underlying asset follows a (GBM). Their framework provided the first closed-form solution and established risk-neutral pricing as a cornerstone of modern financial economics. Building on these theoretical foundations, various numerical estimation methods emerged, such as the finite-difference method, Adomian decomposition method and CRR proposed by Cox et al. (1979). Monte Carlo simulation techniques, such as the least squares method (LSM) proposed by Longstaff and Schwartz (2001), have been widely used to value American and Bermudan options with early-exercise features (Gapeev and Li, 2022). As Stentoft (2004) showed, LSM converges to the true expectation but may fail to converge to the real value of the option. Later, Létourneau and Stentoft (2014) modified the ordinary least square (OLS) regression by imposing constraints to mitigate the bias from the number of regressors, although asymptotic convergence was not established. More recently, Fabozzi et al. (2017) proposed weighted OLS estimations to address heteroscedasticity. Among these approaches, the CRR method remains the most widely used due to its simplicity, ease of construction and ability to replicate the discrete-time dynamics of the price of the underlying asset while providing tractable derivative valuation (Cox et al., 1979).

Discrete-time extensions have further advanced option valuation. Marín-Sánchez (2010) generalized the CRR through the MBRT method, while Milanesi (2020) incorporated isoelastic utilities and time-varying volatility in a trinomial grid for real options. More recently, Marín-Sánchez et al. (2021) employed quadrinomial trees to capture stochastic volatility, reinforcing the flexibility of lattice methods to manage nonlinear dynamics. These contributions highlight the adaptability of discrete models, yet they continue to assume risk-neutral investors.

The persistence of risk neutrality underscores a key gap in the literature: most frameworks do not explicitly account for heterogeneous investor risk preferences, despite empirical evidence that option prices embed valuable information about market risk preferences (Bliss and Panigirtzoglou, 2004). Existing attempts to incorporate preferences often rely on continuous-time models with high computational cost or lack direct adaptation to discrete-time settings.

Our contribution aims to fill this gap by proposing a discrete-time option pricing model that directly incorporates investor risk preferences through a CRRA utility specification. We adapt and extend the MBRT framework to value financial options using certainty-equivalent (CE) approach. Under the CE framework introduced by Beedles (1978), the value of a risky payoff is defined by its utility-adjusted equivalence to a certain outcome. Unlike classical models, our approach does not impose a full risk neutrality but instead reflects the actual risk attitudes of economic agents.

Importantly, while discounting remains risk-neutral, payoffs are adjusted using a CRRA utility function. This separation preserves flexibility and tractability: preferences need only satisfy standard monotonicity (more is preferred to less), while allowing for heterogeneous degrees of risk aversion. In the limiting case where γ = 0, our framework collapses to the risk-neutral benchmark, recovering classical pricing outcomes in both payoff equivalence and the discounting rule. In this sense, our framework generalizes traditional valuation models – including Black and Scholes (B-S), CRR and LSM – by preserving the risk-neutral discounting of expected payoffs (Björk, 2009), while introducing a nonlinear, preference-sensitive transformation of option values.

The remainder of the paper is organized as follows. Section 2 reviews the theoretical foundation of utility functions, focusing on CRRA and its link to consumption in option pricing. Section 3 derives the main equations, establishes the first two moments of the stochastic process, and details the MBRT framework with supporting algebraic expressions. Section 4 presents numerical experiments analyzing the impact of risk preferences on option values. Section 5 discusses the model's contribution to nonlinear risk-adjusted pricing, its practical relevance and limitations and suggests directions for future research. Section 6 concludes the study by emphasizing the importance of incorporating risk preferences into option valuation to enrich both theory and practice.

Decision-making under uncertainty is inherently challenging, requiring methodologies that extend beyond traditional approaches. In academia, risk is commonly modeled using expected utility theory (EUT), which reveals investor preferences by assigning values to the utility generated by alternatives choices, such as investment and consumption. Rooted in neoclassical finance (Shefrin, 2010), EUT follows a rigorous and systematic process that excludes behavioral assumptions. Kahnemann and Tversky (1979) argued that, from the perspective of EUT, decision analysis under risk constitutes a normative model of rational selection, applicable to a wide range of economic behaviors. A detailed review of utility functions and empirical methods for estimating risk aversion is provided by Chávez et al. (2017), who highlight key theoretical foundations and estimation techniques applied in financial decision-making contexts.

Risk aversion is generally quantified through two principal measures. The first is absolute risk aversion (ARA), also known as the Arrow–Pratt coefficient, expressed as rA(x)=u(x)/u(x), where u(x) is the utility function, u(x) is the marginal utility of wealth and u(x) is its second derivative. To normalize by wealth, the relative risk aversion (RRA) coefficient is defined as rR(x)=x·u(x)/u(x).

Consistent with both theory and empirical evidence, we adopt the CRRA utility function to model investor behavior under uncertainty. CRRA satisfies the following key properties: decreasing ARA, constant RRA and scale invariance. It provides analytical while capturing varying degrees of concavity in preferences. In the context of option pricing, CRRA facilitates both the adjustment of investor preferences and correct mathematical manipulation (Bliss and Panigirtzoglou, 2004; Brenner, 2015; Zhou, 2021). Experimental designs based on random lottery pairs further validate its empirical relevance, allowing estimation of individual risk-aversion parameters in controlled environments (Pareja-Vasseur and Baena, 2018).

The CRRA utility function takes the following form:

Here, x>0 represents wealth or a monetary payoff, and γR is the coefficient of CRRA utility function. This parameter defines attitudes toward risk:

  1. γ>0: risk-averse.

  2. γ=0: risk-neutral.

  3. γ<0: risk-loving.

The function is strictly increasing and concave for γ>0, ensuring higher wealth leads to higher utility but with diminishing marginal returns. CRRA preferences are consistent with equilibrium results in the B-S model (Rubinstein, 1976; Brennan, 1979). By contrast, constant absolute risk aversion (CARA) utility is tractable in additive models, it assumes wealth-invariant risk aversion, conflicting with empirical evidence. Epstein–Zin preferences offer greater flexibility by separating risk aversion from intertemporal substitution but introduce significant computational complexity and are beyond the scope of this discrete-time setting. We acknowledge that CRRA does not fully disentangle time and risk preferences; its balance of realism, tractability and empirical validation makes it well-suited for our model. Indeed, CRRA preferences have been successfully applied to dynamic asset–liability management problems under model uncertainty, confirming its tractability and robustness in intertemporal decision-making contexts (Zhao, 2021). Future research may explore Epstein–Zin utility to generalize this framework in dynamic contexts.

Table 1 summarizes empirical estimates of the values of γ reported in the literature.

Table 1

Estimated values of relative risk aversion (RRA) coefficient

Source(s): Authors’ own elaboration

Table 1 presents a range of empirical RRA coefficients, some outside the domain adopted in our model. Several studies infer investors' risk preferences by contrasting observed market outcomes with risk-neutral benchmarks. For example, Bliss and Panigirtzoglou (2004) derived an adjusted risk-neutral probability density function incorporating a utility function to estimate the RRA from the FTSE 100 and S&P 500 option indices. Similarly, Ait-Sahalia and Lo (2000) introduced the Economic Value-at-Risk (E-VaR), a non-parametric risk measure based on state-price densities that better captures the market risk profile compared to traditional VaR.

While these contributions offer valuable insights, our model constrains the RRA coefficient (γ) to the interval −1 ≤ γ < 1, ensuring that the CRRA utility remains strictly concave, well-defined and computationally stable. We explicitly exclude the boundary case γ = 1, as it corresponds to a logarithmic utility function, a distinct model with different analytical properties that is not compatible with our current framework. Values outside this interval may result in excessive curvature or undefined CE, compromising both numerical consistency and interpretability. While Table 1 reports broader empirical estimates for completeness, all simulations and calibrations in this study are restricted within the specified domain. This modeling choice aligns with critiques of the risk-neutral valuation paradigm, such as those advanced by Friend (1977), reinforcing the behavioral and structural coherence of our approach.

Pratt (1964) established the foundations for analyzing risk aversion by introducing concepts such as risk premium, decreasing risk aversion and their proportional relation to total assets. Building on this, Fama (1970) showed that under uncertainty, even risk-averse investors maximize lifetime utility, and that nonstationary investment–consumption processes can be represented through non-stochastic single-period utility functions. Extending the utility framework, Richard (1975) proposed a multidimensional definition of RRA, highlighting consumption as a key determinant.

In parallel, Black and Scholes (1973) and Merton (1973) introduced asset pricing methods under a martingale framework, grounded in no-arbitrage and the uniqueness of the risk-neutral measure in incomplete markets. Thijssen (2008) illustrated this within a two-period economy, showing that future prices can be expressed as equivalent martingales and valued relative to present consumption.

Empirical evidence was provided by Brenner (2015), who analyzed 65,000 RRA coefficients from 7,000 U.S. executives (1996–2008) and found consistently moderate risk aversion (mean ≈ 1; median = 3). His framework-linked risk attitudes to firm characteristics, stock-option exercise behavior, liquidity needs and psychological effects such as overconfidence.

Ellersgaard and Tegnér (2018) integrated these theoretical and empirical strands by applying a martingale approach under the Heston (1993) model. They derived optimal CRRA-based consumption–wealth strategies in a stochastic volatility setting, empirically validated with both stocks and derivatives, including options.

In this section, we propose a primary framework based on the traditional differential stochastic equation, deriving new trend and diffusion terms that incorporate the CRRA utility function. Assuming that the underlying stochastic process follows a GBM, we employ the CRRA utility function to model the risk preferences of an economic agent, capturing both risk-aversion and risk-seeking behaviors.

3.1.1 From a subjective agent-based world to a neutral risk-decision world

In a risk-neutral setting, two critical conditions are essential for option valuation. First, estimated future cash flows are determined by discounting their expected values at the risk-free interest rate. A single neutral probability measure (P*) must be derived from the subjective probability (P) to prevent arbitrage on the discounted expected value. This ensures that the discounted price at an interest rate is a martingale and that the discounted expected value under this rate, according to the new probability (P*), does not present arbitrage opportunities. The probability measure used in a risk-neutral world is the martingale equivalent measure (MEM).

Consider the following traditional linear homogeneous differential equation [1]:

(1)

That describes the behavior of an specific underlying asset in a specific market, where S0=S; μ is a constant that denotes the asset's average rate return, σ>0 is the annual volatility, and {Bt}t0 is a standard one-dimensional Brownian motion (SODBM) define in the probability (Ω,F,{Ft}t0,P).

Consider the discounted pay based on the risk-free rate r as St*=ertSt. Then, apply Ito's lemma.

Allow us to get:

(2)

This process is supported by the theorem introduced by Heston (1993) and the application of the Cameron–Martin–Girsanov theorem as well as Girsanov's theorem (Mao, 1997). Then,

(3)

It is clear that ϕ(t)L2([0,T];R). Then, we obtain

(4)

Substituting (3) into (4)

(5)

Substituting (5) into (2), we got

It is worth to mention that St* is Martingale respect Ft to 0τt. Now, replace (5) in (1).

(6)

Note that the previous equation corresponds to the behavior of an underlying price in a risk-neutral world.

3.1.2 From a neutral risk-decision world to a world of risk-preferences

Consider the traditional neutralized linear homogeneous differential equation (6) which describes the behavior of an underlying asset on a neutral-risk valuation, where S0=S; r is the risk-free rate, σ>0 is the annual volatility and {Bt*}t0 is a SODBM defined in the probability space (Ω,F,{Ft}t0,P*).

Assume the CRRA utility function u(x)=x(1γ)(1γ); with γ1 and 1γ<1, considering this transformation Yt=St(1γ)(1γ) and applying Ito's formula to Yt, we obtain [2]:

with α=(1γ)(rγ2σ2); θ=σ(1γ).

We recognize that incorporating risk aversion into a risk-neutral valuation framework may initially seem contradictory. However, our model resolves this by clearly distinguishing two separate valuation stages.

First, future stochastic payoffs are evaluated in a “risky world” or “risk-adjusted world” (Y), using the CRRA utility function to explicitly incorporate investor risk preferences. This process produces a risk-adjusted rate α, which directly reflects the investor's degree of risk aversion. When the risk aversion coefficient γ=0, α coincides exactly with the risk-free rate, thereby recovering the standard risk-neutral benchmark.

Second, the adjusted payoffs are discounted to present value in a “risk-neutral world” (S), using the risk-free rate. Therefore, our approach accounts for risk in the payoffs themselves rather than in the discounting process, as summarized by the following formula:

(7)

here r* represents the discount rate and Φ(S) the final payoff.

This two-step valuation approach resolves the apparent contradiction by clearly separating the incorporation of risk preferences from the no-arbitration discounting condition. As a result, our model can be viewed as a generalization of traditional risk-neutral methods (e.g. B-S, CRR and LSM methods), which discount the expected weighted average payoffs directly under the risk-neutral measure (Björk, 2009).

To build a multiplicative tree that allows us to describe the discrete behavior of the underlying asset, we must determine the first two moments of the ordinary linear stochastic differential equation to obtain the transition probability, which we present next. These expressions have been widely employed to calibrate recombining lattice models (Lari-Lavassani et al., 2001; Marín-Sánchez, 2010), which we adopt in this work [3].

Proposition 1.
Consider the following stochastic differential equation
(8)

on the time interval [ti,tk], where αR and θ>0 are constants, and {Bt*}t0 is a SODBM defined in the probability space (Ω,F,{Ft}t0,P*). Additionally, we assume that Yt=Yi.

  1. The first two moments are calculated as

    • E[Yt|Yti]=Ytiexp(α(tti))

    • E[Yt2|Yti]=Yti2exp((2α+θ2)(tti))

Proof 1.
Equation (8) can be expressed in an integral form as
Now, we take the expected value E· that corresponds to the conditional expected value, e.g. E[Yt]=E[Yt|Yti].
Now, with a change in variable m(t)=E[Yt],
Thus, we obtain the ordinary differential equation m˙(t)=αm(t). Its solution is given by m(t)=m(ti)exp(α(tkti)), hence
(9)
  1. Let Zt=Yt2; applying the Ito's formula to Yt, we obtain

(10)
In an integral form, Equation (10) becomes
We take the expected value of both sides
We change variables P(t)=E[Yt2], so
This way, the ordinary differential equation P(t)=(2α+θ2)P(t); its solution is given by
Therefore
(11)
Proposition 2.

Consider the stochastic differential Equation (8) and the MBRT Y(i)=Yj(i). Assuming that over the time interval [ti,ti+Δt], we define the conditional expectation of the neutralized continuous process as EYtYtiti+Δt and for the discrete process as EdYiYjitkti+Δt.

The match between the first and second moments for both processes allow us to obtain a specific recombination given by

where AYti,Δt:=EYtYtiti+ΔtYji;BYti,Δt:=EYt2Ytiti+ΔtYji2;CYti,Δt:=1+BYti,Δt2AYti,Δt

Proof. Using the definition of Ed[·|·], the matching between the discrete and continuous time processes is

Because Yj+1(i+1)=Yj(i)uj(i) and Yj(i+1)=Yj(i)dj(i) the previous equations can be reduced to

The previous equations can be rewritten as

(12)
(13)

From Equation (12) we obtain:

(14)

Substituting Equation (14) into Equation (13) we obtain:

(15)

Without loss of generality and to eliminate a degree of freedom, we assume uj(i)dj(i)=1 therefore, from Equation (15) we obtain

If we assume that, based on C(Yti,Δt) we can derive an expression to determine uj(i), we obtain the following expression:

And finally

(16)
Proposition 3.
Consider the stochastic differential Equation (8) on the time interval [t0,T]. Let Y(i)=(Yj(i)) a recombination based on a MBRT with time step Δt. Assume that there is a low boundary Ymin>0 and YminYj(i) for all i and j. If we match the first and second moments for the discrete and continuous processes respectively, we get a complete recombination given by

Proof. Starting with Taylor's series expansion with respect to Y(i) and centered on Δt.

From Proposition 2 and Equation (9), we find

(17)

Similarly, using Equation (11), we find

Hence

(18)

So,

(19)

Substituting Equations (18) and (19) on (16), and taking the positive solution of the square root, we obtain

(20)

Finally, we calculate pj(i) from Equations (17) and (20), which are substituted for Equation (14) as follows

Consider a stochastic process St modeled discreetly over time. In each time period i, the possible states of the process are given by a finite number of vectors S(i)=(Sj(i)), where j is a finite indexed set J(i). Just as the time stream runs from i to period i+1, discrete node Sj(i) can become part of any Sj(i+1),jJ(i+1).

The discrete process determines a transition probability matrix P(i)=Pj,j(i), and thus the element Pj,j(i) represents the probability that Sj(i) moves to Sj(i+1). The number of rows in P(i) is the cardinal of J(i) and the number of columns is the cardinal of J(i+1), such that all jJ(i) and jJ(i+1)Pj,j(i)=1.

The transition probabilities are given for each i by a vector Pj(i),jJ(i) such that Pi,j(i) is defined by Pj(i) if J=j+1,1+Pj(i) if J=j, and zero otherwise.

In this multiplicative process, the size of the upward and downward jumps is defined by uj(i) and dj(i), respectively, so that Sj+1(i+1)=Sj(i)uj(i) and Sj(i+1)=Sj(i)dj(i) such that uj(i)dj+1(i+1)=dj(i)uj(i+1); obtaining the recombination given by

(21)

Note that in the special case where uj(i)=u and dj(i)=d are constants, this recombination takes the form Sj(i)=S0uj1dij+1.

In this section, we provide a brief overview of the MBRT with CRRA (MBRT–CRRA) method for option valuation, incorporating a CRRA-type utility function that corresponds to the subjective probability P. This probability is defined in the real-world measure, accounting for arbitrage and the absence of risk neutrality. Finally, we present the necessary transformation that enables evaluation under the risk-neutral measure.

Assume that the financial option of an asset with an initial value of Y0=S0(1γ)1γ and exercise price of K, and T is divided into N subintervals, each with a length of Δt. We define fj(i) as the value of the option in the (i,j) node. Based on Marín-Sánchez (2010), the price of the asset, expressed as a general function, has binomial recombination in the (i,j) node, which can be represented by the following equation:

(22)

with Y0=Y1(1);i=0,1,,N;j=1,2,,i. It is important to note that, in this case, both u and d are constants Lari-Lavassani et al. (2001), so Equation (22) is summarized as follows:

3.5.1 Financial options

This is followed by an algebraic approach derived from the proposed methodology to assess the basic financial options.

In case of a European call option, the value on the maturity date is indicated by (max(StK,0))1γ1γ, where St=((1γ)Yt)11γ, recall that γ1 and 1γ<1, so

whereas the value at each node is given by

(23)

The same analysis can be applied to valuing European put options. In the case of an American call option, the value at maturity is estimated as the value of a European call option, while the discounted value is defined by

(24)

Similarly, we can represent the value of the maturity date for an American put option. In the case of a Bermudan call option, the value at maturity is estimated in the same way as for an American or European option, but in some switching periods, fj(i) changes from Equation (24) to Equation (23).

To ensure that the option valuation does not yield incorrect or spurious solutions at the nodes of the binomial tree, it is essential to verify the numerical properties of the proposed schemes. For instance, we verify whether the probability of transition lies within the interval [0,1], whether the binomial recombination representing prices remain non-negative, and whether the valuation scheme is positive a monotonically increasing in the time direction. Once these conditions are identified, we establish specific constraints for the scheme that adhere to ideal properties, which are maintained through a series of propositions proven in the next section.

3.6.1 Constrained probability

Proposition 4.

We consider the transition probability pj(i) specified in Proposition 3.

If (α12θ2θ)TN, then
Proof. Consider that

|α12θ2θΔt|1 and finally, 012+12(α12θ2θ)Δt1 providing that 0pj(i)1.

3.6.2 Positivity

Proposition 5.

Under the same assumptions as in Proposition 4, the MBRTCRRA scheme presented in Section 3.5.1 is positive for i=0,1,2,...,N and j=0,1,2,...,i1.

Proof. Note that fj(N1)=(pj(N1)fj+1(N)+(1pj(N1))fj(N))A1. With non-negative payoffs fj(N),fj+1(N) and 0pj(N1)1, then fj(N1)0 for j=0,1,2,...,N2. Now, based on an inductive hypothesis, suppose that fj(NK)0 for j=0,1,2,...,NK1. Following the previous step, we found that fj(NK1)=[pj(NK1)fj+1(NK)+(1pj(NK1))fj(NK)]A1.

Because pj(NK1)0 and considering the inductive process, we obtain fj(NK1)0. Thus, fj(i)0 for i=0,1,2,...,N and j=0,1,2,...,i1.

Remark 1.

It is relatively simple to check the positivity of MBRTCRRA Equation (22) for Y0>0, uj(i)>0 and dj(i)>0.

3.6.3 Monotonicity

Definition 1.

Consider the MBRTCRRA scheme in Equation (23). Thus, it is monotonically

conservative scheme if we assume that fj+1(i+1)fj(i+1)0 and fj(i+1)fj1(i+1)0 Then, fj(i)fj1(i)0iI and jJ, where I and J are non-negative integers.

Proposition 6.

Under the same assumptions of Proposition 4, the MBRTCRRA scheme presented in Equation (23) for a European call option is monotonically conservative for 1iN and 1ji

Proof. For 0pj1(i)1, we find that 1pj1(i)10; because fj(i)fj1(i)0, then
(25)
In the same way, 0pj1(i)1, so
(26)
From Equations (25) and (26) we obtain
Lemma 1.

The MBRT–CRRA Equation (22) is i-monotonically decreasing and j-monotonically

increasing, that is, Yj(i)Yj(i1) and Yj(i)Yj1(i)i;i=1,2,,N and j=1,2,...,i.

Proof. For d=e(θΔt) we have 1d01d2 therefore, d=1u, and 1u1d. Now consider
Then

Similarly, we can prove that Yj(i)Yji1 begins with 1u.

Proposition 7.

The MBRTCRRA Equation (24) to value American call options, is monotonically conservative for 1iN and 1ji.

Proof. Based on Lemma 1 and Remark 1, we have Yj(i)Yj1(i)0. For 1γ>0
And due to 11γ>0, we obtained
So
(27)
For simplicity, let us examine the following variable changes:
By applying Definition 1 and following calculations similar to those in Proposition 6, it is easy to establish that
(28)

With that in mind, Equation (24) could be rewritten as fj(i)=max{wj(i),f~j(i)}. In addition, in Equation (27) note that wj(i)wj1(i), so finally, we can conclude that max{wj(i),f~j(i)}max{wj1(i),f~j1(i)} and fj(i)fj1(i)0.

4.1.1 Examples of financial options

Suppose a Bermudan call option at different maturities, where the transition between the European and American payoff occurs at T/2. Let us assume that the dynamic behavior of the of a given financial asset follow a GBM, as described in Equation (8), with the initial conditions S0=10, K=10, γ=0, r=0.05, and annualized volatility of σ=0.30. These values allow us to calculate the parameters α and θ. In this framework, we consider that investors exhibit either risk-averse or risk-loving behaviors, which are captured by the RRA coefficients γ=0.3 and γ=0.3 respectively. For reference, we also present the classical risk-neutral case. To evaluate the performance of our approach, we compare the experimental numerical results obtained using the MBRT–CRRA and LSM Monte Carlo Simulation with CRRA (LSM–CRRA [4]) methods. In the LSM–CRRA method, the option value is estimated based on 10,000 simulated trajectories and 1,000 repetitions.

Table 2 shows that option values rise with longer maturities, and both methods yield consistent results, supporting the validity of our framework. Importantly, risk preferences alter premiums: under risk aversion, values are lower than in the risk-neutral case, reflecting the tendency of investors to exercise early to avoid uncertainty. By contrast, risk-loving investors hold positions longer, increasing counterparty exposure and leading to higher premiums relative to the neutral benchmark.

Table 2

Comparison of the value of a Bermudan call option between the MBRT–CRRA and the LSM–CRRA

CaseMethod \\T11//21//31//41//61//81//12
Risk-Averse (gamma = 0.3)MBRT-CRRA0.9810.6690.5380.4610.3720.320.259
LSM-CRRA0.9970.6710.5410.4660.3760.3220.261
Risk-Neutral (gamma = 0.0)MBRT-CRRA1.4220.9630.7690.6580.5280.4530.366
LSM-CRRA1.4280.9630.780.6560.5340.4630.368
Risk-Lover (gamma = −0.3)MBRT-CRRA1.8091.2270.9810.8380.6730.5770.465
LSM-CRRA1.8231.2390.9820.8420.6760.5790.467
Source(s): Authors’ own elaboration

Using the initial conditions of S0=10, N=100, σ=0.3 and r=0.05 in Equation (8), Figure 1a illustrates that the value of α tends toward zero as coefficient γ approaches +1, but remains positive if γ differs from +1. Under the B-S valuation, this is exactly 5%, consistent with the assumed risk-free interest rate and corresponds to α is zero meaning that the investor exhibits risk neutrality.

Figure 1
Two side-by-side line graphs plot model values against the gamma coefficient, each with distinct vertical scales and labeled axes.Two line graphs are arranged side-by-side, each illustrating how key variables change with the Relative Risk Aversion (R R A) coefficient over the interval [negative 1,1). On the left, plot (a) shows a curve labeled “alpha sensitivity with respect to the R R A coefficient.” The horizontal axis is labeled “gamma” and ranges from negative 1 to 1 in increments of 0.25. The vertical axis is labeled “alpha,” ranging from 0 to 0.20 in increments of 0.02. The curve is decreasing and convex, beginning near (negative 1, 0.188), passing close to (negative 0.254, 0.077), and ends at (1, 0). On the right, plot (b) shows a curve labeled “Utility sensitivity with respect to the R R A coefficient.” The horizontal axis is labeled “gamma,” ranging from negative 1 to 1 in increments of 0.25. The vertical axis on the left is labeled “U (S subscript 0),” ranging from 0 to 120 in increments of 20. The convex, non-monotonic curve starts near (negative 1, 50.976), reaches a minimum close to (0.254, 7.916), increases around (0.858, 11.398), and ends at (1, 102.269). Note: All numerical data values are approximated.

Sensibility analysis respect RRA coefficient −1 ≤ γ ≤ +1 with N = 100. Source(s): Authors’ own elaboration

Figure 1
Two side-by-side line graphs plot model values against the gamma coefficient, each with distinct vertical scales and labeled axes.Two line graphs are arranged side-by-side, each illustrating how key variables change with the Relative Risk Aversion (R R A) coefficient over the interval [negative 1,1). On the left, plot (a) shows a curve labeled “alpha sensitivity with respect to the R R A coefficient.” The horizontal axis is labeled “gamma” and ranges from negative 1 to 1 in increments of 0.25. The vertical axis is labeled “alpha,” ranging from 0 to 0.20 in increments of 0.02. The curve is decreasing and convex, beginning near (negative 1, 0.188), passing close to (negative 0.254, 0.077), and ends at (1, 0). On the right, plot (b) shows a curve labeled “Utility sensitivity with respect to the R R A coefficient.” The horizontal axis is labeled “gamma,” ranging from negative 1 to 1 in increments of 0.25. The vertical axis on the left is labeled “U (S subscript 0),” ranging from 0 to 120 in increments of 20. The convex, non-monotonic curve starts near (negative 1, 50.976), reaches a minimum close to (0.254, 7.916), increases around (0.858, 11.398), and ends at (1, 102.269). Note: All numerical data values are approximated.

Sensibility analysis respect RRA coefficient −1 ≤ γ ≤ +1 with N = 100. Source(s): Authors’ own elaboration

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Figure 1b further illustrates that changes in the RRA coefficient directly affect profit price fluctuations. For positive values up to 0.57, profits decline and may even turn negative; beyond this threshold, they rise again, implying that the model should be constrained within this range to maintain economic coherence.

By contrast, negative values of the coefficient (risk-seeking behavior) lead to steadily increasing profits as risk preference intensifies. It is important to note that when γ=1, a discontinuity arises. This issue can be easily resolved using L’Hôpital's rule by transforming the function into a logarithmic form.

Figures 2a and b illustrate the evolution of both St and Yt over time, assuming variations in the parameter α. Figure 2a demonstrates that the price of the underlying asset and its corresponding utility exhibit a similar patterns. The key distinction is that when the utility coefficient is negative, the value of the utility is higher; conversely, when the RRA coefficient is positive, the utility decreases. Nonetheless, the relative changes remain proportional.

Figure 2
Two side-by-side plots showing time series and surface data for Y subscript t and S subcript t across varying gamma values.Two graphs are arranged horizontally from left to right and labeled (a) and (b). The first is two-dimensional with three solid line graphs, and the second is a three-dimensional surface graph. On the left, the graph is labeled “(a) Behavior of S subscript t versus Y subscript t respect gamma negative 0.2, 0, and positive 0.2.” The vertical axis is labeled “S subscript t and Y subscript t,” ranging from 7 to 17 in increments of 1. The horizontal axis is labeled “Time,” ranging from 0 to 250 in increments of 50. The first line, labeled “Y subscript t gamma equals negative 0.2,” starts at (0, 13.13), passes through (135.42, 16.67) and (179.69, 14), and ends at (250, 12.87). The second line, labeled “S subscript t gamma equals 0.0,” starts at (0, 10), passes through (80.73, 10.8) and (156.25, 11.8), and ends at (250, 9.8). The third line, labeled “Y subscript t gamma equals 0.2,” starts at (0, 7.8), passes through (87.24, 8.7) and (152.34, 8.93), and ends at (250, 7.73). All three curves show fluctuating time series, with higher gamma values producing lower and flatter trajectories over time. On the right, the graph is labeled “(b) Behavior of Y subscript t respect gamma negative 0.9 less than or equal to gamma less than or equal to positive 0.9 with N equals 250.” The vertical axis on the left labeled “Y subscript t” ranges from 0 to 80 in increments of 10. The horizontal axes are labeled “Time” at the bottom left, ranging from 0 to 300 in increments of 50, and “gamma” at the bottom right, ranging from 1 to negative 1 in increments of 0.5. The surface begins smoothly at lower “time” and “gamma” values, with “Y subscript t” remaining relatively low and stable. As time progresses and “gamma” increases, the surface rises sharply and becomes more irregular, indicating that “Y subscript t” grows in magnitude and variability. Note: All numerical data values are approximated.

Behavior of Yt respect to γ with N = 250. Source(s): Authors’ own elaboration

Figure 2
Two side-by-side plots showing time series and surface data for Y subscript t and S subcript t across varying gamma values.Two graphs are arranged horizontally from left to right and labeled (a) and (b). The first is two-dimensional with three solid line graphs, and the second is a three-dimensional surface graph. On the left, the graph is labeled “(a) Behavior of S subscript t versus Y subscript t respect gamma negative 0.2, 0, and positive 0.2.” The vertical axis is labeled “S subscript t and Y subscript t,” ranging from 7 to 17 in increments of 1. The horizontal axis is labeled “Time,” ranging from 0 to 250 in increments of 50. The first line, labeled “Y subscript t gamma equals negative 0.2,” starts at (0, 13.13), passes through (135.42, 16.67) and (179.69, 14), and ends at (250, 12.87). The second line, labeled “S subscript t gamma equals 0.0,” starts at (0, 10), passes through (80.73, 10.8) and (156.25, 11.8), and ends at (250, 9.8). The third line, labeled “Y subscript t gamma equals 0.2,” starts at (0, 7.8), passes through (87.24, 8.7) and (152.34, 8.93), and ends at (250, 7.73). All three curves show fluctuating time series, with higher gamma values producing lower and flatter trajectories over time. On the right, the graph is labeled “(b) Behavior of Y subscript t respect gamma negative 0.9 less than or equal to gamma less than or equal to positive 0.9 with N equals 250.” The vertical axis on the left labeled “Y subscript t” ranges from 0 to 80 in increments of 10. The horizontal axes are labeled “Time” at the bottom left, ranging from 0 to 300 in increments of 50, and “gamma” at the bottom right, ranging from 1 to negative 1 in increments of 0.5. The surface begins smoothly at lower “time” and “gamma” values, with “Y subscript t” remaining relatively low and stable. As time progresses and “gamma” increases, the surface rises sharply and becomes more irregular, indicating that “Y subscript t” grows in magnitude and variability. Note: All numerical data values are approximated.

Behavior of Yt respect to γ with N = 250. Source(s): Authors’ own elaboration

Close modal

Figure 3a presents the results obtained using the LSM–CRRA and MBRT–CRRA methods, illustrating the convergence between our proposed approach and the B-S methodology for valuing a European call option. The valuation is performed under the initial conditions of S0=10, K=10, N=100, σ=0.3, r=0.05, T=1 years, γ=0 and 50 repetitions of 10,000 trajectories.

Figure 3
Two panels comparing option values obtained using the Black–Scholes formula, the M B R T-C R R A method, and the L S M-C R R A method under different time discretizations and risk-aversion settings.Two graphs are arranged side by side. In both graphs, the horizontal axis represents “Time intervals” ranging from 0 to 100, in increments of 20. On the left graph, labeled “(a) Comparison of B-S, M B R T-C R R A and L S M-C R R A methods (with min-max intervals) schemes to value a European Call option,” the vertical axis is labeled “Option value” and ranges from 0 to 1.8, with increments of 0.2. The graph shows five lines. The first line (dotted line) is labeled “B and S Formula,” starts at (0, 1.44) and ends near (98.72, 1.44). The second line (solid line) is labeled “M B T R-C R R A,” starts at (0, 1.71), passes through (25.21, 1.45) and (46.15, 1.44), and ends near (98.72, 1.44). The third line (green line with circular mark) is labeled “Maximum L S M-C R R A,” starts at (0, 0.1), rises steeply, passes through (5.13, 1.35) and ends near (98.29, 1.49). The fourth line (dot and dashed line) is labeled “Mean L S M-C R R A,” starts at (0, 0.1), rises steeply, passes through (5.98, 1.32) and ends near (98.29, 1.44). The fifth line (blue line with circular mark) is labeled “Minimum L S M-C R R A,” starts at (0, 0.1), rises steeply, passes through (21.37, 1.32) and (35.47, 1.37), and ends near (98.29, 1.39). All five curves show initial fluctuations but gradually converge toward a stable value near 1.44. On the right graph, labeled “(b) Comparison of B-S, M B R T-C R R A and L S M-C R R A methods for R R A values of negative 0.8, 0, and 0.8 to value a European Call option,” the vertical axis labeled “Option value” ranges from 0 to 2.5, with increments of 0.5. The graph shows six lines. The first line (dot and dashed line), labeled “L S M-C R R A gamma equals negative 0.8,” starts at (0, 0.06), passes through (7.63, 2.19) and (31.36, 2.3), and ends near (97.88, 2.36). The second line (solid line), labeled “M B T R-C R R A gamma equals negative 0.8,” starts at (0, 2.24), passes through (22.03, 2.35) and (47.88, 2.36), and ends near (97.88, 2.35). The third line (red dot and dashed line), labeled “L S M-C R R A gamma equals 0,” starts at (0, 0.06), rises steeply, passes through (5.93, 1.28) and (42.37, 1.38), and ends near (97.88, 1.39). The fourth line (red solid line), labeled “M B T R-C R R A gamma equals 0,” starts at (0, 1.68), passes through (10.17, 1.42) and (22.03, 1.43), and ends at (98.31, 1.43). The fifth line (violet dot and dashed line), labeled “L S M-C R R A gamma equals 0.8,” starts at (0, 0.06), passes through (24.15, 0.06) and (61.86, 0.06), and ends near (97.88, 0.06). The sixth line (violet dot and dashed line), labeled “L S M-C R R A gamma equals 0.8,” starts at (0, 0.06), passes through (33.05, 0.05) and (71.61, 0.07), and ends near (97.88, 0.06). The curves show that lower values of the risk aversion parameter lead to higher option values that stabilize quickly. Higher parameter values result in lower, flatter curves with minimal fluctuation over time. Note: All numerical data values are approximated.

Comparison of Black–Scholes method, MBRT–CRRA and LSM–CRRA. Source(s): Authors’ own elaboration

Figure 3
Two panels comparing option values obtained using the Black–Scholes formula, the M B R T-C R R A method, and the L S M-C R R A method under different time discretizations and risk-aversion settings.Two graphs are arranged side by side. In both graphs, the horizontal axis represents “Time intervals” ranging from 0 to 100, in increments of 20. On the left graph, labeled “(a) Comparison of B-S, M B R T-C R R A and L S M-C R R A methods (with min-max intervals) schemes to value a European Call option,” the vertical axis is labeled “Option value” and ranges from 0 to 1.8, with increments of 0.2. The graph shows five lines. The first line (dotted line) is labeled “B and S Formula,” starts at (0, 1.44) and ends near (98.72, 1.44). The second line (solid line) is labeled “M B T R-C R R A,” starts at (0, 1.71), passes through (25.21, 1.45) and (46.15, 1.44), and ends near (98.72, 1.44). The third line (green line with circular mark) is labeled “Maximum L S M-C R R A,” starts at (0, 0.1), rises steeply, passes through (5.13, 1.35) and ends near (98.29, 1.49). The fourth line (dot and dashed line) is labeled “Mean L S M-C R R A,” starts at (0, 0.1), rises steeply, passes through (5.98, 1.32) and ends near (98.29, 1.44). The fifth line (blue line with circular mark) is labeled “Minimum L S M-C R R A,” starts at (0, 0.1), rises steeply, passes through (21.37, 1.32) and (35.47, 1.37), and ends near (98.29, 1.39). All five curves show initial fluctuations but gradually converge toward a stable value near 1.44. On the right graph, labeled “(b) Comparison of B-S, M B R T-C R R A and L S M-C R R A methods for R R A values of negative 0.8, 0, and 0.8 to value a European Call option,” the vertical axis labeled “Option value” ranges from 0 to 2.5, with increments of 0.5. The graph shows six lines. The first line (dot and dashed line), labeled “L S M-C R R A gamma equals negative 0.8,” starts at (0, 0.06), passes through (7.63, 2.19) and (31.36, 2.3), and ends near (97.88, 2.36). The second line (solid line), labeled “M B T R-C R R A gamma equals negative 0.8,” starts at (0, 2.24), passes through (22.03, 2.35) and (47.88, 2.36), and ends near (97.88, 2.35). The third line (red dot and dashed line), labeled “L S M-C R R A gamma equals 0,” starts at (0, 0.06), rises steeply, passes through (5.93, 1.28) and (42.37, 1.38), and ends near (97.88, 1.39). The fourth line (red solid line), labeled “M B T R-C R R A gamma equals 0,” starts at (0, 1.68), passes through (10.17, 1.42) and (22.03, 1.43), and ends at (98.31, 1.43). The fifth line (violet dot and dashed line), labeled “L S M-C R R A gamma equals 0.8,” starts at (0, 0.06), passes through (24.15, 0.06) and (61.86, 0.06), and ends near (97.88, 0.06). The sixth line (violet dot and dashed line), labeled “L S M-C R R A gamma equals 0.8,” starts at (0, 0.06), passes through (33.05, 0.05) and (71.61, 0.07), and ends near (97.88, 0.06). The curves show that lower values of the risk aversion parameter lead to higher option values that stabilize quickly. Higher parameter values result in lower, flatter curves with minimal fluctuation over time. Note: All numerical data values are approximated.

Comparison of Black–Scholes method, MBRT–CRRA and LSM–CRRA. Source(s): Authors’ own elaboration

Close modal

The MBRT–CRRA method converges rapidly to the exact solution within 40–50 periods, while the LSM–CRRA approximation oscillates below the benchmark and stabilizes after 60 periods.

The numerical results show that the MBRT–CRRA provides an adequate price compared to the LSM–CRRA method, as the difference between the two methods is not significant. Additionally, in terms of time efficiency, the MBRT–CRRA shows an outstanding performance with reductions between 96 and 99% in price estimation. In terms of computational performance, the MBRT–CRRA method requires approximately one second to compute option price with N = 300, by contrast, the LSM–CRRA method takes about three seconds for a single run (10,000 trajectories) and, given its reliance on simulation, must be repeated multiple times – at least 50 repetitions – to obtain stable results.

The figure also shows that LSM–CRRA provides a high-accuracy estimate, with confidence bands indicating that deviations from the exact value remain within 5%.

Figure 3b, shows that MBRT–CRRA and LSM–CRRA converge across different values of γ. For positive coefficients (e.g. +0.8) convergence is reached quickly due to the stability of LSM–CRRA relative to the dispersion of the MBRT–CRRA. When γ is negative, the convergence between the methods occurs near the end of the proposed interval. In this scenario, the MBRT–CRRA method proves to be more stable while the LSM–CRRA tends to exhibit higher volatility, particularly with a coefficient of 0.8. In both cases, the exact value cannot be derived using B-S, since it lacks risk-adjustment terms, underscoring the motivation for our framework and the scope for deriving an exact differential equation in future research.

4.4.1 Comparison of MBRT–CRRA and LSM–CRRA

The primary objective of this study is to present a numerical framework that incorporates risk aversion into option valuation. To this end, we conducted four sensitivity analyses to examine how the MBRT–CRRA and LSM–CRRA methods capture investor risk preferences and their impact on option premiums. These analyses were performed with S0=10, K=10, r=0.05, annualized volatility of σ=0.30, T=1, N=300, and using the LSM–CRRA method with four regressors.

Figure 4 clearly illustrates how the variation in annualized volatility (σ) and the γ coefficient affect option prices across European, American and Bermudan (call and put options) under the LSM–CRRA and MBRT–CRRA frameworks. The sensitivity analysis demonstrates a pronounced asymmetry: when investors are risk-loving, they consistently assign higher values to options as volatility increases. Conversely, for risk-averse investors, option prices initially decrease with low volatility and only begin to rise again at higher volatility levels. For example, at γ=+0.1, option values initially decline within the 1%–3% volatility range but subsequently increase as volatility rises beyond this threshold. As γ approaches higher levels of risk aversion (e.g. γ=+0.7), this recovery of option values is delayed, indicating a stronger aversion to volatility.

Figure 4
Six surface plots show simulated option price responses to volatility across different contract types and conditions.Six 3 D plots are arranged in a 2 by 3 grid. In all plots, the bottom right is labeled “gamma” and ranges from negative 1 to 1 with increments of 0.5, the axis on the bottom left is labeled “sigma” and ranges from 0 to 0.6 in steps of 0.2, while the vertical axis on the left is labeled “Option Price” and ranges from 0 to 4 in increments of 1. Each surface in the plot is colored according to the color scale bar on the right, representing option price values ranging from 0.5 to 3.5 in intervals of 0.5. Deep blue indicates option prices near 1, cyan-to-green shades represent prices around 2 to 3, and yellow tones correspond to prices close to 3.5 in (a) to (c), ranging from 0.2 to 2.2 in intervals of 0.2. Deep blue indicates values near 0.2, cyan-to-green shades represent values around 1 to 1.6, and yellow tones correspond to values close to 2.2 in (d) to (f). In the top left of each graph, a red asterisk is labeled “Monte Carlo Simulation.” The top left plot, labeled “(a) European Call,” presents a 3D surface showing option price variation. The surface slopes downward smoothly from high values at the back-left to low values toward the front-right. Color transitions from yellow at the top to dark blue at the bottom, indicating decreasing option price. Red asterisks mark the surface trend closely, confirming consistency between simulated and modeled values. The top middle plot, labeled “(b) Bermuda Call,” shows a surface with a similar overall shape to the European Call but slightly lower across the same range. The downward slope remains consistent, but the surface appears marginally flatter, indicating reduced option price values compared to the European call. The color gradient from yellow to dark blue follows the same pattern but shifts toward cooler tones, reflecting the lower pricing trend. The red asterisk continues to align closely with the surface, maintaining agreement between simulation and model. The top right plot, labeled “(c) American Call,” shows a surface similar in shape to the European and Bermuda Call plots but positioned slightly higher overall. The downward trend remains from the yellow region at the back-left to the dark blue region at the front-right, but the option price values are marginally greater, indicating higher valuation under early exercise flexibility. The color gradient appears more pronounced, with broader yellow and green regions, showing a steeper variation in price. Red asterisks continue to match the surface closely, confirming reliable model correspondence. The bottom left plot, labeled “(d) European Put,” shows a 3D surface with a smoother curvature compared to the call option plots. The surface starts high in yellow tones at the back-left and gradually descends toward dark blue in the front-right, indicating a decreasing option price trend. Overall price values are lower, with the surface peaking around 2.5, reflecting the typically lower valuation of put options. The gradient transition is more curved than linear, showing nonlinear sensitivity to parameter changes. Red asterisks remain closely aligned with the surface, validating the modeled results. The bottom middle plot, labeled “(e) Bermuda Put,” exhibits a surface pattern closely resembling the European Put but positioned slightly higher overall. The downward curvature from yellow to dark blue remains consistent, though the midrange region shows a gentler slope, suggesting a modest increase in option price due to limited early exercise flexibility. The overall color transition is smoother, with broader green and cyan regions. Red asterisks are well-aligned with the surface. The bottom right plot, labeled “(f) American Put,” shows a surface similar in shape to the European and Bermuda Put plots but positioned slightly higher overall. The gradient from yellow at the top to dark blue at the bottom remains consistent, though the upper region appears broader, indicating an increase in option price due to full early exercise flexibility. The transition across colors is smoother, reflecting a stable decline in price with parameter changes. Red asterisks continue to align closely with the surface, confirming strong consistency.

Comparison between the means of LSM–CRRA and MBRT–CRRA through an analysis of sensitivity to volatility. Source(s): Authors’ own elaboration

Figure 4
Six surface plots show simulated option price responses to volatility across different contract types and conditions.Six 3 D plots are arranged in a 2 by 3 grid. In all plots, the bottom right is labeled “gamma” and ranges from negative 1 to 1 with increments of 0.5, the axis on the bottom left is labeled “sigma” and ranges from 0 to 0.6 in steps of 0.2, while the vertical axis on the left is labeled “Option Price” and ranges from 0 to 4 in increments of 1. Each surface in the plot is colored according to the color scale bar on the right, representing option price values ranging from 0.5 to 3.5 in intervals of 0.5. Deep blue indicates option prices near 1, cyan-to-green shades represent prices around 2 to 3, and yellow tones correspond to prices close to 3.5 in (a) to (c), ranging from 0.2 to 2.2 in intervals of 0.2. Deep blue indicates values near 0.2, cyan-to-green shades represent values around 1 to 1.6, and yellow tones correspond to values close to 2.2 in (d) to (f). In the top left of each graph, a red asterisk is labeled “Monte Carlo Simulation.” The top left plot, labeled “(a) European Call,” presents a 3D surface showing option price variation. The surface slopes downward smoothly from high values at the back-left to low values toward the front-right. Color transitions from yellow at the top to dark blue at the bottom, indicating decreasing option price. Red asterisks mark the surface trend closely, confirming consistency between simulated and modeled values. The top middle plot, labeled “(b) Bermuda Call,” shows a surface with a similar overall shape to the European Call but slightly lower across the same range. The downward slope remains consistent, but the surface appears marginally flatter, indicating reduced option price values compared to the European call. The color gradient from yellow to dark blue follows the same pattern but shifts toward cooler tones, reflecting the lower pricing trend. The red asterisk continues to align closely with the surface, maintaining agreement between simulation and model. The top right plot, labeled “(c) American Call,” shows a surface similar in shape to the European and Bermuda Call plots but positioned slightly higher overall. The downward trend remains from the yellow region at the back-left to the dark blue region at the front-right, but the option price values are marginally greater, indicating higher valuation under early exercise flexibility. The color gradient appears more pronounced, with broader yellow and green regions, showing a steeper variation in price. Red asterisks continue to match the surface closely, confirming reliable model correspondence. The bottom left plot, labeled “(d) European Put,” shows a 3D surface with a smoother curvature compared to the call option plots. The surface starts high in yellow tones at the back-left and gradually descends toward dark blue in the front-right, indicating a decreasing option price trend. Overall price values are lower, with the surface peaking around 2.5, reflecting the typically lower valuation of put options. The gradient transition is more curved than linear, showing nonlinear sensitivity to parameter changes. Red asterisks remain closely aligned with the surface, validating the modeled results. The bottom middle plot, labeled “(e) Bermuda Put,” exhibits a surface pattern closely resembling the European Put but positioned slightly higher overall. The downward curvature from yellow to dark blue remains consistent, though the midrange region shows a gentler slope, suggesting a modest increase in option price due to limited early exercise flexibility. The overall color transition is smoother, with broader green and cyan regions. Red asterisks are well-aligned with the surface. The bottom right plot, labeled “(f) American Put,” shows a surface similar in shape to the European and Bermuda Put plots but positioned slightly higher overall. The gradient from yellow at the top to dark blue at the bottom remains consistent, though the upper region appears broader, indicating an increase in option price due to full early exercise flexibility. The transition across colors is smoother, reflecting a stable decline in price with parameter changes. Red asterisks continue to align closely with the surface, confirming strong consistency.

Comparison between the means of LSM–CRRA and MBRT–CRRA through an analysis of sensitivity to volatility. Source(s): Authors’ own elaboration

Close modal

These patterns are further detailed quantitatively in Table 3, which compares the mean values produced by MBRT–CRRA and LSM–CRRA for Americans put under various volatility and risk preference scenarios. Using the risk-neutral scenario (γ=0) as a baseline, we observe consistently lower premiums compared to risk-loving scenarios, underscoring the economic intuition behind investor preferences. Specifically, risk-loving investors perceive high volatility positively, as it enhances the probability of substantial gains while limiting losses to the premium paid. Consequently, they assign higher premiums to options. Conversely, risk-averse investors emphasize potential downside risk by discounting option premiums, especially at higher volatility levels.

Table 3

Comparison of the value of a Bermudan call option between the MBRT–CRRA and the LSM–CRRA

Sigma//gamma−0.9−0.500.50.9
minmeanmaxminmeanmaxminmeanmaxminmeanmaxminmeanmax
0.050.14*0.120*0.082*0.04*0.006*
0.1410.1520.1580.1170.1220.1260.080.0830.0850.040.0420.0440.0070.0080.009
0.20.982*0.831*0.608*0.338*0.074*
0.9640.9951.030.8240.8460.8760.5990.6170.6450.3150.3420.3680.0640.0740.082
0.351.732*1.524*1.175*0.691*0.15 *
1.71.7491.8151.511.5441.6011.1531.1921.2280.6630.6990.7370.1480.160.176
0.52.339*2.139*1.742*1.086*0.252*
2.2912.3482.4112.1132.1652.2271.6951.7531.8031.0471.11.1440.2410.2660.292

Note(s): In each volatility scenario, the first row displays the MBRT–CRRA premium (*), while the second row presents the minimum, mean and maximum values of the LSM–CRRA method over 50 repetitions

Source(s): Authors’ own elaboration

Overall, these results confirm that the MBRT–CRRA framework effectively captures how risk preferences shape the perceived value of optionality. Risk-loving investors, embracing uncertainty, systematically value options more highly, a behavior clearly highlighted both visually and quantitatively in Figure 4 and Table 3.

Figure 5 illustrates how variations in the risk-free rate and the RRA coefficient affect option premiums within the LSM–CRRA and MBRT–CRRA frameworks. This sensitivity analysis reveals a clear interaction between investor preferences and changes in the risk-free rate. Specifically, option values systematically decrease as investors become more risk-averse (positive γ), whereas they increase substantially under conditions of risk-loving behavior (negative γ). Higher risk-free rates further amplify these patterns, notably increasing option premiums for all investor types but especially benefiting risk-loving investors.

Figure 5
Six 3 D plots show simulated option prices across asset values and time, comparing different styles and types.Six 3 D plots are arranged in a 2 by 3 grid. In all plots, the bottom right is labeled “gamma” and ranges from negative 1 to 1 with increments of 0.5 in (a) to (c) and from 1 to negative 1 in increments of 0.5 in (d) to (e); the axis on the bottom left is labeled “r” and ranges from 0 to 0.6 in steps of 0.2 in (a) to (c) and from 0.5 to 0 in increments of 0.1 in (d) to (f), while the vertical axis on the left is labeled “Option Price” and ranges from 0 to 5 in increments of 1 in (a) to (c) and from 0 to 1 in increments of 0.5 in (d) to (f). Each surface in the plot is colored according to the color scale bar on the right, representing option price values ranging from 0.5 to 4 in intervals of 0.5. Deep blue indicates option prices near 0.5, cyan-to-green shades represent prices around 1.5 to 2.5, and yellow tones correspond to prices close to 3.5 to 4 in (a) to (c), from 0 to 1.1 in intervals of 0.1. Deep blue indicates option prices near 0, cyan-to-green shades represent prices around 0.4 to 0.7, and yellow tones correspond to prices close to 1.0 to 1.1 in (d) to (f). In the top left, the asterisk is labeled “Monte Carlo Simulation.” The top left plot, labeled “(a) European Call,” surface shows a smooth downward slope from yellow at the back-left to dark blue at the front-right, representing decreasing option price values. The curvature is gentle, and the price levels reach up to around 4, indicating higher initial option prices. Red asterisks are closely aligned with the surface. The top middle plot, labeled “(b) Bermuda Call,” has a surface pattern similar to the European Call but slightly higher across most regions. The color transition from yellow to blue remains consistent, though the slope appears marginally flatter, suggesting a moderate increase in option price due to partial early exercise flexibility. Red asterisks continue to follow the surface accurately. The top right plot, labeled “(c) American Call,” shows a surface highest among the three, with broader yellow and green areas, showing an overall upward shift in option price relative to the European and Bermuda calls. The downward trend remains smooth from yellow to dark blue, illustrating reduced price at higher gamma values. This indicates the highest valuation due to full early exercise rights. The red asterisk matches the surface closely. The bottom left plot, labeled “(d) European Put,” exhibits a smooth upward curvature from dark blue at the front-left to yellow at the back-right, indicating increasing option price values. Overall price levels are modest, reaching up to around 1.1, reflecting lower put valuations. The surface appears slightly curved with a steady color gradient. Red asterisks align closely with the modeled surface. The bottom middle plot, labeled “(e) Bermuda Put,” has a surface pattern similar to the European Put but is positioned slightly higher overall, showing a moderate increase in option price due to limited early exercise flexibility. The color transition from blue to yellow remains smooth, with the midrange appearing more elevated. Red asterisks remain consistent with the surface. The bottom right plot, labeled “(f) American Put,” shows a surface highest among the three, with broader yellow and green regions, reflecting an overall increase in option price due to full early exercise flexibility. The curvature remains smooth, with a gradual upward transition from blue to yellow. Red asterisks match the surface closely.

Comparison between the means of LSM–CRRA and MBRT–CRRA through an analysis of sensitivity to the risk-free rate and CRRA coefficient. Source(s): Authors’ own elaboration

Figure 5
Six 3 D plots show simulated option prices across asset values and time, comparing different styles and types.Six 3 D plots are arranged in a 2 by 3 grid. In all plots, the bottom right is labeled “gamma” and ranges from negative 1 to 1 with increments of 0.5 in (a) to (c) and from 1 to negative 1 in increments of 0.5 in (d) to (e); the axis on the bottom left is labeled “r” and ranges from 0 to 0.6 in steps of 0.2 in (a) to (c) and from 0.5 to 0 in increments of 0.1 in (d) to (f), while the vertical axis on the left is labeled “Option Price” and ranges from 0 to 5 in increments of 1 in (a) to (c) and from 0 to 1 in increments of 0.5 in (d) to (f). Each surface in the plot is colored according to the color scale bar on the right, representing option price values ranging from 0.5 to 4 in intervals of 0.5. Deep blue indicates option prices near 0.5, cyan-to-green shades represent prices around 1.5 to 2.5, and yellow tones correspond to prices close to 3.5 to 4 in (a) to (c), from 0 to 1.1 in intervals of 0.1. Deep blue indicates option prices near 0, cyan-to-green shades represent prices around 0.4 to 0.7, and yellow tones correspond to prices close to 1.0 to 1.1 in (d) to (f). In the top left, the asterisk is labeled “Monte Carlo Simulation.” The top left plot, labeled “(a) European Call,” surface shows a smooth downward slope from yellow at the back-left to dark blue at the front-right, representing decreasing option price values. The curvature is gentle, and the price levels reach up to around 4, indicating higher initial option prices. Red asterisks are closely aligned with the surface. The top middle plot, labeled “(b) Bermuda Call,” has a surface pattern similar to the European Call but slightly higher across most regions. The color transition from yellow to blue remains consistent, though the slope appears marginally flatter, suggesting a moderate increase in option price due to partial early exercise flexibility. Red asterisks continue to follow the surface accurately. The top right plot, labeled “(c) American Call,” shows a surface highest among the three, with broader yellow and green areas, showing an overall upward shift in option price relative to the European and Bermuda calls. The downward trend remains smooth from yellow to dark blue, illustrating reduced price at higher gamma values. This indicates the highest valuation due to full early exercise rights. The red asterisk matches the surface closely. The bottom left plot, labeled “(d) European Put,” exhibits a smooth upward curvature from dark blue at the front-left to yellow at the back-right, indicating increasing option price values. Overall price levels are modest, reaching up to around 1.1, reflecting lower put valuations. The surface appears slightly curved with a steady color gradient. Red asterisks align closely with the modeled surface. The bottom middle plot, labeled “(e) Bermuda Put,” has a surface pattern similar to the European Put but is positioned slightly higher overall, showing a moderate increase in option price due to limited early exercise flexibility. The color transition from blue to yellow remains smooth, with the midrange appearing more elevated. Red asterisks remain consistent with the surface. The bottom right plot, labeled “(f) American Put,” shows a surface highest among the three, with broader yellow and green regions, reflecting an overall increase in option price due to full early exercise flexibility. The curvature remains smooth, with a gradual upward transition from blue to yellow. Red asterisks match the surface closely.

Comparison between the means of LSM–CRRA and MBRT–CRRA through an analysis of sensitivity to the risk-free rate and CRRA coefficient. Source(s): Authors’ own elaboration

Close modal

These findings are quantitatively confirmed in Table 4, which presents numerical comparisons between MBRT–CRRA and LSM–CRRA valuations for European call at various levels of the risk-free rate and γ. Using the risk-neutral scenario (γ=0) as a reference, premiums consistently decrease as risk aversion increases (γ>0), and significantly increase under risk-seeking attitudes (γ<0). For instance, at r=0.5, the premium with γ=0.9 (strongly risk-loving) reaches to 4.253, while for γ=+0.9 (strongly risk-averse), it sharply declines to 3.239.

Table 4

Comparison of MBRT–CRRA and LSM–CRRA to value a European Call γ vs r

r//gamma−0.9−0.500.50.9
minmeanmaxminmeanmaxminmeanmaxminmeanmaxminmeanmax
0.051.698*1.437*1.040*0.49*0.00*
1.6261.7041.7731.3961.4521.4971.0081.0451.0970.4530.4930.5420.0030.0040.005
0.22.546*2.311*1.947*1.390*0.237*
2.5012.5652.6422.262.3272.371.9071.9582.0091.2891.3981.4550.1970.2350.288
0.353.422*3.234*2.955*2.560*1.556*
3.3853.4573.5263.2033.2613.3192.9042.9743.0312.4782.5732.6251.4011.5271.645
0.54.253*4.109*3.907*3.659*3.249*
4.1914.2894.3494.0774.1394.2053.8923.9353.9983.6093.6723.7643.1343.2363.31

Note(s): In each risk-free scenario, the first row shows the MBRT–CRRA premium (*), while the second row reports the minimum, mean and maximum values of the LSM–CRRA method for 50 repetitions

Source(s): Authors’ own elaboration

The economic intuition behind these behaviors lies in the way different investors value uncertain future payoffs. Risk-loving investors perceive an increase in the risk-free rate as an opportunity to magnify potential gains without heavily discounting potential losses, making the optionality extremely valuable. Conversely, risk-averse investors remain cautious, heavily discounting uncertain outcomes, thereby lowering the perceived value of options even when risk-free rates rise.

Figure 6 illustrates how variations in option maturity and the γ coefficient influence option prices. Risk-loving investors consistently assign higher premiums as maturity increases, reflecting their preference for the higher uncertainty associated with longer time horizons. In contrast, risk-averse investors value options much less, even at extended maturities, due to heightened sensitivity to potential losses.

Figure 6
Six mesh plots compare simulated and theoretical option prices across asset values and time for different styles.Six 3 D plots are arranged in a 2 by 3 grid. In all plots, the bottom right is labeled “gamma” and ranges from negative 1 to 1 with increments of 0.5, the axis on the bottom left is labeled “T” and ranges from 0 to 2 in steps of 0.5, while the vertical axis on the left is labeled “Option Price” and ranges from 0 to 3 in increments of 0.5 in (a) to (c) and from 0 to 1.2 in increments of 0.2 in (d) to (f). Each surface in the plot is colored according to the color scale bar on the right, representing option price values ranging from 0.5 to 2.5 in intervals of 0.5. Deep blue indicates option prices near 0.5, cyan-to-green shades represent prices around 1.0 to 1.5, and yellow tones correspond to prices close to 2.5 in (a) to (c), ranging from 0 to 1.1 in intervals of 0.1. Deep blue indicates option prices near 0, cyan-to-green shades represent prices around 0.4 to 0.8, and yellow tones correspond to prices close to 1.0 to 1.1 in (d) to (f). In the top left, the red asterisk is labeled “Monte Carlo Simulation.” The top left plot, labeled “(a) European Call,” surface displays a steady downward slope from yellow at the back-left to dark blue at the front-right, indicating a decrease in option price with changing parameters. The curvature is smooth, with moderate variation across the surface. Red asterisks follow the surface closely. The top middle plot, labeled “(b) Bermuda Call,” surface resembles the European Call but appears slightly higher overall. The color transition from yellow to blue remains consistent, though the slope is marginally flatter, reflecting a small increase in option price due to partial early exercise flexibility. The red asterisks align well with the surface. The top right plot, labeled “(c) American Call,” shows a surface that lies highest among the three plots, maintaining the same color gradient from yellow to dark blue but with a broader green region. This pattern indicates higher option prices resulting from full early exercise rights. Red asterisks match the surface accurately. The bottom left plot, labeled “(d) European Put,” surface shows a smooth downward slope from yellow at the top-left to dark blue at the bottom-right, indicating a steady decrease in option price. The price range remains relatively low, peaking near 1.2. The curvature is gentle, and the red asterisks follow the surface closely. The bottom middle plot, labeled “(e) Bermuda Put,” has a surface pattern that resembles the European Put but lies slightly higher across most regions. The color transition from yellow to blue is smoother, with a broader green section, showing a mild increase in option price due to limited early exercise opportunities. The red asterisks align well with the surface. The bottom right plot, labeled “(f) American Put,” shows a surface that lies highest among the three, with an extended yellow region and a gradual slope toward dark blue. This reflects higher option prices resulting from full early exercise flexibility. The overall curvature remains smooth, and the red asterisks match the surface accurately.

Comparison between the mean of LSM–CRRA and MBRT–CRRA schemes through a sensibility analysis with respect to expiration maturity and γ CRRA coefficient. Source(s): Authors’ own elaboration

Figure 6
Six mesh plots compare simulated and theoretical option prices across asset values and time for different styles.Six 3 D plots are arranged in a 2 by 3 grid. In all plots, the bottom right is labeled “gamma” and ranges from negative 1 to 1 with increments of 0.5, the axis on the bottom left is labeled “T” and ranges from 0 to 2 in steps of 0.5, while the vertical axis on the left is labeled “Option Price” and ranges from 0 to 3 in increments of 0.5 in (a) to (c) and from 0 to 1.2 in increments of 0.2 in (d) to (f). Each surface in the plot is colored according to the color scale bar on the right, representing option price values ranging from 0.5 to 2.5 in intervals of 0.5. Deep blue indicates option prices near 0.5, cyan-to-green shades represent prices around 1.0 to 1.5, and yellow tones correspond to prices close to 2.5 in (a) to (c), ranging from 0 to 1.1 in intervals of 0.1. Deep blue indicates option prices near 0, cyan-to-green shades represent prices around 0.4 to 0.8, and yellow tones correspond to prices close to 1.0 to 1.1 in (d) to (f). In the top left, the red asterisk is labeled “Monte Carlo Simulation.” The top left plot, labeled “(a) European Call,” surface displays a steady downward slope from yellow at the back-left to dark blue at the front-right, indicating a decrease in option price with changing parameters. The curvature is smooth, with moderate variation across the surface. Red asterisks follow the surface closely. The top middle plot, labeled “(b) Bermuda Call,” surface resembles the European Call but appears slightly higher overall. The color transition from yellow to blue remains consistent, though the slope is marginally flatter, reflecting a small increase in option price due to partial early exercise flexibility. The red asterisks align well with the surface. The top right plot, labeled “(c) American Call,” shows a surface that lies highest among the three plots, maintaining the same color gradient from yellow to dark blue but with a broader green region. This pattern indicates higher option prices resulting from full early exercise rights. Red asterisks match the surface accurately. The bottom left plot, labeled “(d) European Put,” surface shows a smooth downward slope from yellow at the top-left to dark blue at the bottom-right, indicating a steady decrease in option price. The price range remains relatively low, peaking near 1.2. The curvature is gentle, and the red asterisks follow the surface closely. The bottom middle plot, labeled “(e) Bermuda Put,” has a surface pattern that resembles the European Put but lies slightly higher across most regions. The color transition from yellow to blue is smoother, with a broader green section, showing a mild increase in option price due to limited early exercise opportunities. The red asterisks align well with the surface. The bottom right plot, labeled “(f) American Put,” shows a surface that lies highest among the three, with an extended yellow region and a gradual slope toward dark blue. This reflects higher option prices resulting from full early exercise flexibility. The overall curvature remains smooth, and the red asterisks match the surface accurately.

Comparison between the mean of LSM–CRRA and MBRT–CRRA schemes through a sensibility analysis with respect to expiration maturity and γ CRRA coefficient. Source(s): Authors’ own elaboration

Close modal

Table 5 quantitatively confirms these patterns for Bermudan puts, highlighting that at longer maturities (e.g.T = 2), option premiums are significantly higher for risk-loving investors (1.202 at γ=0.9) compared to strongly risk-averse investors (0.008 at γ=+0.9). Thus, the MBRT–CRRA framework effectively captures how investor attitudes toward risk and time shape the perceived value of optionality.

Table 5

Comparison of MBRT–CRRA and LSM–CRRA to value a Bermudan Put γ vs T

T//gamma−0.9−0.500.50.9
minmeanmaxminmeanmaxminmeanmaxminmeanmaxminmeanmax
1//12 0.360*  0.300*  0.21*  0.10*  0.00* 
0.3540.3630.3730.2940.3040.3150.2060.2150.2220.1040.110.1170.0040.0050.005
1//6 0.490*  0.40*  0.290*  0.14*  0.005* 
0.4790.4950.5140.3980.4120.430.2790.2950.3070.1420.1490.1580.0040.0060.008
1//4 0.582*  0.486*  0.34*  0.17*  0.006* 
0.5670.5890.6080.4750.4920.5090.3380.3510.3650.1650.1770.1860.0060.0070.009
1//3 0.655*  0.548*  0.39*  0.199*  0.007* 
0.640.6620.6820.5380.5560.5810.3810.3960.4110.1890.20.2130.0050.0070.009
1//2 0.768*  0.64*  0.463*  0.234*  0.007* 
0.750.7750.7990.630.6530.6710.4420.4650.480.2170.2360.2540.0060.0080.01
1 0.982*  0.829*  0.601*  0.302*  0.008* 
0.9560.9931.0270.8020.8390.8750.5790.6050.6320.2860.3020.3190.0070.0090.011
2 1.202*  1.026*  0.750*  0.371*  0.008* 
1.1711.2081.2411.0061.0361.0690.7230.7540.7990.3510.3730.3960.0070.0090.011

Note(s): In each expiration scenario, the first row displays the MBRT–CRRA premium (*), while the second row presents the minimum, mean and maximum values of the LSM–CRRA method for 50 repetitions

Source(s): Authors’ own elaboration

Figure 7 demonstrates how variations in strike prices (K) and the RRA coefficient influence option premiums. Notably, risk-loving investors place substantially higher premiums on deep out-of-the-money options, reflecting their preference for risky bets with high payoffs despite lower probabilities of success. Conversely, risk-averse investors significantly reduce premiums as options move further out-of-the-money, emphasizing their aversion to unlikely favorable outcomes.

Figure 7
Six 3 D plots compare option pricing across types and timeframes using Monte Carlo simulation (L S M-C R R A) and M B R T-C R R A with color-coded surfaces.Six 3 D plots are arranged in a 2 by 3 grid. In all plots, the bottom right is labeled “gamma” and ranges from 1 to negative 1 with increments of 0.5 in (a) to (c) and ranges from negative 1 to 1 with increments of 0.5 in (d) to (f). The axis on the bottom left is labeled “k” and ranges from 15 to 5, with decrements of 5 in (a) to (c), and ranges from 5 to 15 with increments of 5 in (d) to (f). The vertical axis on the left is labeled “Option Price” and ranges from 0 to 6 with increments of 2 in (a) to (c), ranges from 0 to 5 with increments of 1 in (d) and (e), and ranges from 0 to 6 with increments of 1 in (f). Each surface in the plot is colored according to the color scale bar on the right, representing option price values ranging from 0.5 to 5 with intervals of 0.5 in (a) to (c) and (f), and option price values ranging from 0.5 to 4.5 in intervals of 0.5 in (d) and (e). Deep blue signifies prices near 1, moving through cyan and green for prices between 2 and 3, and peaking at yellow tones for prices around 3.5 and higher, up to 5 in (a) to (c) and (f). Deep blue indicates the lowest values (around 0.5 to 1), transitioning through green for mid-range values, and finishing with yellow tones for the highest values (around 3.5 to 4.5) in (d) and (e). In the top left of each graph, an asterisk is labeled “Monte Carlo Simulation.” The top left plot (a), labeled “European Call,” shows the option price surface as a function of the strike price and the parameter. The price is highest (yellow or orange) at low K and high gamma and lowest (dark blue) at high K and low gamma. The surface exhibits a clear downward slope as the strike price (K) increases. The red asterisks (Monte Carlo Simulation results) align very closely with the smooth surface. The top middle plot (b), labeled “Bermuda Call,” option price surface exhibits a similar, steeply sloping profile to the European Call, but with consistently lower option prices across the entire domain. This decrease in value is visually confirmed by the surface's cooler color tones, appearing more blue and green than the European counterpart. The surface's smooth representation still closely matches the red asterisk Monte Carlo simulation points. The top right plot (c), labeled “American put,” shows a surface that is inverted compared to the call options, exhibiting the highest prices (yellow or orange) at high strike prices (K) and low gamma values. The price has a clear upward slope as the strike price K increases. The values appear lower overall compared to the call options shown in (a) and (b), with the surface generally dominated by blue and green hues. As with the other plots, the red asterisks are tightly aligned with the surface. The bottom left plot (d), labeled “European Put,” shows a smooth, downward-sloping surface with a consistent curvature across the domain. The option values decrease steadily as time to maturity increases or as the underlying asset moves out of the money. The color gradient transitions from yellow at higher values to deep blue at lower ones, clearly illustrating the pricing decay. Red asterisks are tightly aligned with the surface. The bottom middle plot (e), labeled “Bermuda Put,” presents a surface similar in shape to the European Put but slightly elevated in certain regions, reflecting the added flexibility of early exercise at discrete intervals. The slope remains downward but appears subtly stepped, especially along the time axis. The color gradient follows the same yellow-to-blue pattern but shifts slightly warmer in mid-range zones, suggesting marginally higher option values. Red asterisks remain closely fitted to the surface. The bottom right plot (f), labeled “American Put,” displays the highest surface among the three, with visibly increased elevation across most of the domain. The surface is more convex, especially near early exercise regions, capturing the full flexibility of continuous exercise. The color gradient leans toward warmer tones, orange and yellow, indicating higher option prices. The downward slope is less steep, and the surface appears more lifted overall. Red asterisks continue to trace the surface closely.

Comparison between the mean of LSM–CRRA and MBRT–CRRA schemes through an analysis of sensitivity to strikes and γ RRA coefficient. Source(s): Authors’ own elaboration

Figure 7
Six 3 D plots compare option pricing across types and timeframes using Monte Carlo simulation (L S M-C R R A) and M B R T-C R R A with color-coded surfaces.Six 3 D plots are arranged in a 2 by 3 grid. In all plots, the bottom right is labeled “gamma” and ranges from 1 to negative 1 with increments of 0.5 in (a) to (c) and ranges from negative 1 to 1 with increments of 0.5 in (d) to (f). The axis on the bottom left is labeled “k” and ranges from 15 to 5, with decrements of 5 in (a) to (c), and ranges from 5 to 15 with increments of 5 in (d) to (f). The vertical axis on the left is labeled “Option Price” and ranges from 0 to 6 with increments of 2 in (a) to (c), ranges from 0 to 5 with increments of 1 in (d) and (e), and ranges from 0 to 6 with increments of 1 in (f). Each surface in the plot is colored according to the color scale bar on the right, representing option price values ranging from 0.5 to 5 with intervals of 0.5 in (a) to (c) and (f), and option price values ranging from 0.5 to 4.5 in intervals of 0.5 in (d) and (e). Deep blue signifies prices near 1, moving through cyan and green for prices between 2 and 3, and peaking at yellow tones for prices around 3.5 and higher, up to 5 in (a) to (c) and (f). Deep blue indicates the lowest values (around 0.5 to 1), transitioning through green for mid-range values, and finishing with yellow tones for the highest values (around 3.5 to 4.5) in (d) and (e). In the top left of each graph, an asterisk is labeled “Monte Carlo Simulation.” The top left plot (a), labeled “European Call,” shows the option price surface as a function of the strike price and the parameter. The price is highest (yellow or orange) at low K and high gamma and lowest (dark blue) at high K and low gamma. The surface exhibits a clear downward slope as the strike price (K) increases. The red asterisks (Monte Carlo Simulation results) align very closely with the smooth surface. The top middle plot (b), labeled “Bermuda Call,” option price surface exhibits a similar, steeply sloping profile to the European Call, but with consistently lower option prices across the entire domain. This decrease in value is visually confirmed by the surface's cooler color tones, appearing more blue and green than the European counterpart. The surface's smooth representation still closely matches the red asterisk Monte Carlo simulation points. The top right plot (c), labeled “American put,” shows a surface that is inverted compared to the call options, exhibiting the highest prices (yellow or orange) at high strike prices (K) and low gamma values. The price has a clear upward slope as the strike price K increases. The values appear lower overall compared to the call options shown in (a) and (b), with the surface generally dominated by blue and green hues. As with the other plots, the red asterisks are tightly aligned with the surface. The bottom left plot (d), labeled “European Put,” shows a smooth, downward-sloping surface with a consistent curvature across the domain. The option values decrease steadily as time to maturity increases or as the underlying asset moves out of the money. The color gradient transitions from yellow at higher values to deep blue at lower ones, clearly illustrating the pricing decay. Red asterisks are tightly aligned with the surface. The bottom middle plot (e), labeled “Bermuda Put,” presents a surface similar in shape to the European Put but slightly elevated in certain regions, reflecting the added flexibility of early exercise at discrete intervals. The slope remains downward but appears subtly stepped, especially along the time axis. The color gradient follows the same yellow-to-blue pattern but shifts slightly warmer in mid-range zones, suggesting marginally higher option values. Red asterisks remain closely fitted to the surface. The bottom right plot (f), labeled “American Put,” displays the highest surface among the three, with visibly increased elevation across most of the domain. The surface is more convex, especially near early exercise regions, capturing the full flexibility of continuous exercise. The color gradient leans toward warmer tones, orange and yellow, indicating higher option prices. The downward slope is less steep, and the surface appears more lifted overall. Red asterisks continue to trace the surface closely.

Comparison between the mean of LSM–CRRA and MBRT–CRRA schemes through an analysis of sensitivity to strikes and γ RRA coefficient. Source(s): Authors’ own elaboration

Close modal

Table 6 quantitatively confirms these insights for American call: at lower strikes (e.g. K = 5), premiums remain high for all investors but increase substantially for risk-seeking investors (γ=0.9, with 5.479 as premium) compared to risk-averse ones (γ=+0.9, with 5.000 as premium). However, as strikes rise (e.g. K = 15), this difference becomes even more pronounced, with premiums nearing zero for strongly risk-averse investors, reflecting their unwillingness to pay for highly uncertain payoffs. Thus, investor risk attitudes significantly shape how strike variations affect perceived option value, which is clearly captured by the MBRT–CRRA framework.

Table 6

Comparison of MBRT–CRRA and LSM–CRRA to value an American call γ vs K

K//gamma−0.9−0.500.50.9
minMeanmaxminMeanmaxminMeanmaxminMeanmaxminMeanmax
5 5.479*  5.377*  5.242*  5.095*  5.000* 
5.4925.5135.5535.3365.395.4455.2145.2645.3285.0325.1245.1985.0135.0465.072
7.5 3.379*  3.184*  2.893*  2.523*  2.500* 
3.3823.4053.4463.1873.2013.2232.8392.9022.962.5132.5522.5842.4982.5032.514
10 1.698*  1.437*  1.040*  0.529*  0.105* 
1.6261.7061.781.4451.4661.5020.9851.0471.0790.5170.5380.5670.1020.110.123
12.5 0.692*  0.485*  0.227*  0.034*  0.000* 
0.7150.7310.7570.450.4940.5360.220.2350.2580.0330.0370.04000
15 0.240*  0.131*  0.034*  0.000*  0.000* 
0.2370.2620.30.1360.150.1770.0250.0380.0490.0010.0010.002000

Note(s): In each case of strike value, the first row shows the value of the MBRT–CRRA premium (*), while the second row reports the minimum, mean and maximum values obtained from the LSM–CRRA method across 50 repetitions

Source(s): Authors’ own elaboration

The integration of CRRA utility functions into derivative valuation represents a key innovation, as it explicitly accounts for investor risk preferences beyond the traditional risk-neutral paradigm. This framework advances the literature on utility-based and nonlinear risk-adjusted pricing by demonstrating how variations in RRA coefficient shape option values.

From a practical perspective, the model offers a flexible tool for portfolio managers, traders, and policymakers by aligning valuations with observed market behavior while preserving consistency with classical models under specific conditions. Accurate calibration of risk preferences thus becomes essential for reliable pricing and policy design.

While this research offers significant theoretical and practical contributions, certain limitations warrant further study.

  1. Computational complexity: The CRRA-based valuation method introduces additional numerical challenges, requiring precise calibration and advanced optimization techniques.

  2. Dependence on risk aversion estimates: The model assumes that investor risk preferences can be accurately measured and remain stable, which may not always reflect dynamic market conditions.

  3. Absence of a closed-form solution: Our proposed approach lacks an analytical closed-form solution. Therefore, it is crucial to dedicate efforts to its development.

To enhance the model's applicability and theoretical foundation, future research should focus on.

  1. Epstein–Zin recursive utility – Integrating Epstein–Zin preferences to separate risk aversion from intertemporal elasticity of substitution, refining the modeling of investor behavior.

  2. Machine learning techniques – Leveraging neural networks and reinforcement learning to optimize parameter estimation and computational efficiency.

  3. Empirical validation with market data – Calibrating the RRA coefficient using real-world option market data to assess the model's pricing accuracy compared with traditional approaches.

  4. Closed-form solutions – Developing approximate analytical solutions to address the lack of a closed-form expression in CRRA-based derivative pricing.

This study introduces a numerical framework for option pricing that incorporates investor risk aversion through a CRRA utility function, enabling option values to reflect individual risk preferences via the RRA coefficient. Unlike traditional risk-neutral methods, this approach offers a more realistic and flexible valuation tool.

Key results show that variations in the RRA coefficient γ significantly affect option values through adjustments to the modified risk-free rate α, revealing a non-monotonic relationship between risk aversion and pricing. This underscores the importance of accurate calibration of risk preferences for robust valuation outcomes.

The framework is applicable to American, European and Bermudan call and put options, subject to mathematical conditions of constrained probability, positivity and monotonicity, and provides a foundation for future research on convergence and closed-form solutions. Overall, the contribution lies in expanding asset pricing theory by embedding investor-specific risk preferences into derivative valuation, enhancing both theoretical and practical applications, and fostering a deeper understanding of risk-adjusted option pricing in dynamic financial environments.

1.

In this work, we adopt the Itô interpretation of the stochastic integral, which is the standard in financial modeling and aligns with risk-neutral pricing theory. However, in systems with multiplicative noise, alternative interpretations – such as Stratonovich or Klimontovich–Hänggi – lead to different volatility corrections and thus distinct probability density functions and moment behaviors. This nuance has been extensively discussed in the physics literature (see Mannella and McClintock, 2012) and more recently in mathematical treatments (Escudero and Rojas, 2023). While these frameworks are beyond the scope of the present work, we acknowledge their relevance and suggest they be explored in future research on option pricing under non-standard noise conventions.

2.

In this derivation, we apply Itô’s lemma, which generalizes the chain rule for stochastic processes, where fC2Type equation here. Specifically, for a function Yt=f(St), Itô’s formula is: df(St)=f(St)dSt+12f(St)(dSt)2Type equation here. This formulation corresponds to the Itô interpretation of stochastic integration, which differs from Stratonovich and Klimontovich–Hänggi interpretations often used in physics. The Itô interpretation is standard in financial modeling due to its compatibility with martingale measures and arbitrage-free pricing.

3.

Beyond the classical GBM framework, these moment results have also been generalized to more complex stochastic processes, such as continuous-time random walk and fractional models. While our focus here is on recombination schemes consistent with GBM, acknowledging these extensions highlights the broader applicability of moment-matching methodologies.

4.

In our LSM–CRRA implementation we follow the classic Longstaff–Schwartz algorithm, mapping the underlying price St ​ to the CRRA-adjusted state variable Yt​, so that risk preferences enter only through the CRRA transformation while the valuation itself remains risk-neutral. For every exercise date, we retain the in-the-money paths and regress their discounted cash flows Yˆ onto a compact set of low-order polynomials in the normalized price, specifically Legendre-type polynomials. The regression is a plain OLS estimation, repeated backwards in time, projecting and comparing the continuation value with the immediate exercise payoff, so that payoffs are overwritten only when early exercise is optimal. For a detailed description of the full method and algorithmic steps, the reader is referred to Section 3.4 and 3.5 of Marín-Sánchez et al. (2025), where the complete framework and pseudocode are provided. This material is not reproduced here due to space constraints.

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