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To improve the energy efficiency of a large building stock, authority planners and designers need to identify which buildings consume most energy and why. For this purpose, this paper provides a data mining-based methodology for setting decision-making rules to identify patterns of energy consumption for a large data set of flats and evaluate the potential effects achievable by retrofitting actions. The calculated normalised primary energy demand (EPDn) and the geometrical, thermo-physical and heating system attributes of 92 906 flats are analysed. Firstly, an accurate statistical description of the building stock and its main technological features is provided. Secondly, a supervised classification algorithm to rank flats as ‘low’, ‘medium’ or ‘high’ EPDn is developed based on the flats’ attributes. To classify EPDn, reference threshold values are set between the attributes. These values will benefit authority planners and designers when setting performance objectives. Finally, the high-EPDn flats are analysed in depth through an unsupervised classification algorithm. Thus, intrinsic properties and hidden dependencies are discovered. Moreover, a manageable number of real reference flats representative of the entire high-consumption class are identified. These real reference flats can be used to study the causes of high-EPDn and propose different energy retrofit actions.

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