The Global Forest Products Model (GFPM) was applied to project the consequences for the global forest sector of doubling the rate of growth of bioenergy demand relative to a base scenario, other drivers being maintained constant. The results showed that this would lead to the convergence of the price of fuelwood and industrial roundwood, raising the price of industrial roundwood by nearly 30% in 2030. The price of sawnwood and panels would be 15% higher. The price of paper would be 3% higher. Concurrently, the demand for all manufactured wood products would be lower in all countries, but the production would rise in countries with competitive advantage. The global value added in wood processing industries would be 1% lower in 2030. The forest stock would be 2% lower for the world and 4% lower for Asia. These effects varied substantially by country.
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1 April 2011
Research Article|
April 01 2011
Consequences of increasing bioenergy demand on wood and forests: An application of the Global Forest Products Model Available to Purchase
Joseph Buongiorno;
Department of Forest and Wildlife Ecology,
University of Wisconsin
, Madison, WI, USA
Corresponding author. Tel.: +1 608 262 0091; fax: +1 608 262 9922. E-mail address: jbuongio@wisc.edu (J. Buongiorno).
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Ronald Raunikar;
Ronald Raunikar
US Geological Survey
, Menlo Park, CA, USA
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Shushuai Zhu
Shushuai Zhu
Department of Forest and Wildlife Ecology,
University of Wisconsin
, Madison, WI, USA
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Corresponding author. Tel.: +1 608 262 0091; fax: +1 608 262 9922. E-mail address: jbuongio@wisc.edu (J. Buongiorno).
Received:
July 19 2010
Accepted:
February 11 2011
Online ISSN: 1618-1530
Print ISSN: 1104-6899
© 2011 Department of Forest Economics, SLU Umeå, Sweden. Published by Elsevier GmbH. All rights reserved
2011
Department of Forest Economics, SLU Umeå, Sweden. Published by Elsevier GmbH
Licensed re-use rights only
Journal of Forest Economics (2011) 17 (2): 214–229.
Article history
Received:
July 19 2010
Accepted:
February 11 2011
Citation
Buongiorno J, Raunikar R, Zhu S (2011), "Consequences of increasing bioenergy demand on wood and forests: An application of the Global Forest Products Model". Journal of Forest Economics, Vol. 17 No. 2 pp. 214–229, doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfe.2011.02.008
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